Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tsukasa Shiotani suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hayao Kawabe on 24 minutes.
- 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 34' Japan international Hayao Kawabe has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Takeshi Kanamori is replaced by Shintaro Nago on 46 minute.
- 47' Wellington catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
- 52' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 65' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Kazuya Konno trudges off to be replaced by Hiroki Akino on 65 minutes.
- 67' What a strike from Mutsuki Kato! The score is 1-0.
- 70' Shuto Nakano gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Naoki Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Shahab Zahedi Tabar on, Wellington off on 72 minutes.
- 76' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Masaya Tashiro has done his job and it is now time for Masato Shigemi to step up.
- 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 82' Daiki Suga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 86' The Japan Tomoya Miki breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 1-1!
- 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Sota Nakamura is withdrawn and Sota Koshimichi gets his opportunity.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 70'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Shuto Nakano 70'
- 33
- 4
- 14
- 51
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 70'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 44
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 70'
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
- 5
- 1
- 18
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Hiroki Akino 65'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Masato Shigemi 76'
- 88
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Yota Maejima 46'
- 20
Bench
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↑ 46'
-
29
Yota Maejima ↑ 46'
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↑ 76'
- 45
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 72'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 65'
- 50
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shunki Higashi | 3 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
Avispa Fukuoka Form
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-04-29
Shonan Bellmare
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Shimizu S-Pulse
3–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-04-12
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-04-06
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

