Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sat 3 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Hayao Kawabe 24' Y

Y 47' Wellington

Daiki Suga 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 games · Avg 2.4 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L
25 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L
20 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
12 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	0–1	L
06 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D
20 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–3	L
12 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka
#4	Position	#10
30	Points	21
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
41	Scored	49
33	Conceded	59
+8	GD	-10
1.67	PPG	1.17
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daiki Matsuoka suffering a number of foals already.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takumi Kamijima is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
24' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
29' The 30-year-old Shintaro Nago has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
34' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
39' Japan international Kazuya Konno has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomoya Ando made 200 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' The whistle greets Takeshi Kanamori as he departs to be replaced by Shintaro Nago.
47' Wellington is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
52' Shahab Zahedi Tabar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 20 appearances.
57' Satoshi Tanaka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
65' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 65 minute. Kazuya Konno leaves to be changed by Hiroki Akino.
67' GOAL! Mutsuki Kato scores on 67.
70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Naoki Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Shuto Nakano to step up.
72' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Wellington departs to be replaced by Shahab Zahedi Tabar.
76' Masaya Tashiro makes way for Masato Shigemi at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
81' Yuto Iwasaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
82' Daiki Suga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
86' What composure from Tomoya Miki! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Sota Nakamura is withdrawn and Sota Koshimichi gets his opportunity.
With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Shunki Higashi	2
Shosei Usui	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata L 2025-04-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-04-29 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2025-04-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-04-12 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2025-04-06 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.71 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima60% Draw20% Avispa Fukuoka20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 4.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

80%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

40%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 1

7.1%

1 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4 – 1

4.8%

1 – 2

4.5%

1 – 0

3.9%

4 – 2

3.6%

4 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	18%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	20%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.