Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 3 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Hayao Kawabe 24' Y
Y 47' Wellington
Daiki Suga 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L
25 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
29 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
12 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–1 W
06 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka
#4 Position #10
30 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
41 Scored 49
33 Conceded 59
+8 GD -10
1.67 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tsukasa Shiotani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hayao Kawabe on 24 minutes.
  • 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 34' Japan international Hayao Kawabe has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Takeshi Kanamori is replaced by Shintaro Nago on 46 minute.
  • 47' Wellington catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
  • 52' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Kazuya Konno trudges off to be replaced by Hiroki Akino on 65 minutes.
  • 67' What a strike from Mutsuki Kato! The score is 1-0.
  • 70' Shuto Nakano gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Naoki Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Shahab Zahedi Tabar on, Wellington off on 72 minutes.
  • 76' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Masaya Tashiro has done his job and it is now time for Masato Shigemi to step up.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' Daiki Suga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 86' The Japan Tomoya Miki breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 1-1!
  • 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Sota Nakamura is withdrawn and Sota Koshimichi gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima60% Draw20% Avispa Fukuoka20%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.