Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sat 3 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Hayao Kawabe 24' Y

Y 47' Wellington

Daiki Suga 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 games · Avg 2.4 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L
25 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L
20 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
12 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	0–1	L
06 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D
20 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–3	L
12 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka
#4	Position	#10
30	Points	21
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
41	Scored	49
33	Conceded	59
+8	GD	-10
1.67	PPG	1.17
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/–

61-75

4/2

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' Masaya Tashiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
20' Avispa Fukuoka looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yu Hashimoto scoring 1 goals.
24' It’s gonna be a card for Hayao Kawabe.
29' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
34' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
44' Daiki Matsuoka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 200 appearances.
46' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Takeshi Kanamori exits the field as Shintaro Nago enters on 46.
47' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Wellington gets a card.
52' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's shape.
57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
62' Japan international Takeshi Kanamori has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
65' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Kazuya Konno departs to be replaced by Hiroki Akino.
67' Mutsuki Kato makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
70' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoki Maeda by Shuto Nakano on 70 minute.
72' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Wellington has done his job and it is now time for Shahab Zahedi Tabar to step up.
76' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Masaya Tashiro is replaced by Masato Shigemi on 76 minute.
81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
82' Daiki Suga has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
86' GOAL! Tomoya Miki scores on 86.
90' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Sota Nakamura is replaced by Sota Koshimichi on 90 minute.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hiroyuki Mae	2
Tomoya Miki	2
Junior Santos	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Daiki Watari	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Shunki Higashi	2
Shosei Usui	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata L 2025-04-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-04-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-04-29 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2025-04-25 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-04-12 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2025-04-06 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.71 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima60% Draw20% Avispa Fukuoka20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 4.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

80%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

40%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 1

7.1%

1 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4 – 1

4.8%

1 – 2

4.5%

1 – 0

3.9%

4 – 2

3.6%

4 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	18%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	20%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.