Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kicked off against Avispa Fukuoka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Takeshi Kanamori is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 10' Takumi Kamijima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 24' Hayao Kawabe is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
- 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 34' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' The whistle greets Takeshi Kanamori as he departs to be replaced by Shintaro Nago.
- 47' A moment of madness from Wellington on 47 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
- 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 57' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 65' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroki Akino is hanging Kazuya Konno on the field on 65 minute.
- 67' Mutsuki Kato has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
- 70' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Shuto Nakano.
- 72' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Wellington exits the field as Shahab Zahedi Tabar enters on 72.
- 76' Masaya Tashiro makes way for Masato Shigemi at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daiki Suga on 82 minutes.
- 86' Tomoya Miki doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Sota Koshimichi on, Sota Nakamura off on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka. Honours even.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 70'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Shuto Nakano 70'
- 33
- 4
- 14
- 51
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 70'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 44
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 70'
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
- 5
- 1
- 18
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Hiroki Akino 65'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Masato Shigemi 76'
- 88
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Yota Maejima 46'
- 20
Bench
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↑ 46'
-
29
Yota Maejima ↑ 46'
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↑ 76'
- 45
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 72'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 65'
- 50
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shunki Higashi | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Shahab Zahedi Tabar | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
Avispa Fukuoka Form
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-04-29
Shonan Bellmare
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Shimizu S-Pulse
3–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-04-12
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-04-06
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

