Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 3 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Hayao Kawabe 24' Y
Y 47' Wellington
Daiki Suga 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L
25 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
12 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
29 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
12 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–1 W
06 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka
#4 Position #10
30 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
41 Scored 49
33 Conceded 59
+8 GD -10
1.67 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A
Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima60% Draw20% Avispa Fukuoka20%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.