Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 21 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 41 |
| 59 | Conceded | 33 |
| -10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Avispa Fukuoka has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Yuma Obata has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 17' Valere Germain makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 22' Avispa Fukuoka looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yu Hashimoto scoring 1 goals.
- 27' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Sasaki made 335 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 47' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Naoto Arai is replaced by Shuto Nakano.
- 52' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' Kosuke Kinoshita is replacing Valere Germain for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 62' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani.
- 67' Yotaro Nakajima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 70' Nassim Ben Khalifa makes way for Shahab Zahedi Tabar at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 71' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Masato Yuzawa is withdrawn and Yuto Iwasaki gets his opportunity.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 79' Tolgay Arslan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mutsuki Kato at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 87' What composure from Satoshi Tanaka! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Abdul Hanan Sani Brown. He replaces Masaya Tashiro on 87 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 14
- 13
- 8
- 24
- 37
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 71'
- 88
- 11
- 47
- 20
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 71'
- 31
- 51
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 70'
- 19
- 53
-
32
Abdul Hanan Sani Brown ↑ 87'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 70'
- 1
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 62'
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Shuto Nakano 47'
- 35
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Tolgay Arslan 79'
- 37
Bench
- 10
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 70'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 61'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 62'
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 79'
- 32
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 47'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Shunki Higashi | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-09-27
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-09-23
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
D
2025-08-31
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-08-23
Tokyo Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.7
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
47%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.