Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 9 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Bramall
- Referee Matthew Wilkes
- Referee Simon Hooper
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Referee Gary Beswick
- Referee Adam Nunn
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City FC | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea FC | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford FC | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City AFC | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds United FC | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle United FC | 9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 9 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United FC | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace FC | 9 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest FC | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland AFC | 9 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Leicester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | Chelsea FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | West Ham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Mar | Everton FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #19 |
| 12 | Points | 6 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 6 |
| 13 | Conceded | 12 |
| -3 | GD | -6 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 10th (12 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 19th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 5 G | |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Villa Park will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC.
- 5' Nottingham Forest FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nottingham Forest FC backline.
- 15' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Morgan Gibbs-White has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 28' Aston Villa FC make a change. Leon Bailey trudges off to be replaced by Bertrand Traore on 28 minutes.
- 32' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Cheikhou Kouyate by Remo Freuler on 32 minute.
- 35' Aston Villa FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 36' Jonjo Shelvey was booked on 36.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' A quiet spell here at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 48' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bertrand Traore on 48.
- 53' Emiliano Buendia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
- 58' Nottingham Forest FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 63' It’s high time Steve Cooper made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 65' Orel Mangala gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Joe Worrall and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' Leander Dendoncker is replacing Emiliano Buendia for the Aston Villa FC side.
- 79' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira makes way for Andre Ayew at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
- 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' The referee shows Nottingham Forest FC player a Yellow card on 85.
- 90' Orel Mangala catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nottingham Forest FC.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 5
- 18
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 7
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Bertrand Traore 28'
- 6
- 15
- 41
Bench
- 27
- 16
-
32
Leander Dendoncker ↑ 75'
-
9
Bertrand Traore ↑ 28'
- 3
- 25
- 38
- 22
- –
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Cheikhou Kouyate ↓ Remo Freuler 32'
-
6
Jonjo Shelvey ↓ Taiwo Awoniyi 65'
- 10
- 15
- 19
- 12
- 38
-
4
Joe Worrall ↓ Orel Mangala 65'
- 20
- 7
- 28
Bench
- 25
-
34
Andre Ayew ↑ 79'
- 13
- 11
- 16
-
5
Orel Mangala ↑ 65'
-
23
Remo Freuler ↑ 32'
- 26
-
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↑ 65'
Coach
Steve Cooper
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 1 |
| Morgan Rogers | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2023-04-08
Aston Villa FC
2–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2023-04-04
Leeds United FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2023-04-01
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
D
2023-03-17
Nottingham Forest FC
1–2
Newcastle United FC
L
2023-03-11
Tottenham Hotspur FC
3–1
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2023-03-05
Nottingham Forest FC
2–2
Everton FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Aston Villa FC to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
36%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.