Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Wed 28 Nov 2018 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

6
3
3
Aston Villa FC 12 games · Avg 3.6 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Nottingham Forest FC H 5–5 D
25 Nov Birmingham City FC H 4–2 W
10 Nov Derby County FC A 3–0 W
02 Nov Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Aston Villa FC A 5–5 D
24 Nov Hull City AFC A 2–0 W
10 Nov Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
03 Nov Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
27 Oct Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Aston Villa FC to score. At the same time, Nottingham Forest FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' Lewis Grabban puts Nottingham Forest FC on the lead.
  • 6' Joao Carvalho has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 11' What a strike from Tammy Abraham! The score is 1-2.
  • 14' Brilliant from the ! Tammy Abraham makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 14.
  • 19' Nottingham Forest FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Yannick Bolasie.
  • 22' Magnificent from Matty Cash! That is 21 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Michael Hefele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' A goal from the England international Tammy Abraham! He fires home on 36 to make it 3-3!
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Tobias Figueiredo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 48' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 51' Joe Lolley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 56' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Claudio Yacob on 65.
  • 66' Anwar El Ghazi gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Jonathan Kodjia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' It’s gonna be a Red card for Tobias Figueiredo.
  • 69' Alan Hutton catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 69.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Joao Carvalho as he leaves the pitch. Michael Hefele steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 71' The England Tammy Abraham breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 4-4!
  • 75' Anwar El Ghazi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Matty Cash is replaced by Gil Dias on 77 minute.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jack Colback.
  • 79' Glenn Whelan is ready to make an impact after coming on for John McGinn at the 79 minute mark.
  • 82' What composure from Lewis Grabban! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 5-5.
  • 83' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Yannick Bolasie exits the field as Ahmed El Mohamady enters on 83.
  • 87' Anwar El Ghazi was booked on 87.
  • 90' Karim Ansarifard is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Grabban at the 90 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.58 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC42% Draw22% Nottingham Forest FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes83% 0% No17%
Avg goals/match: 5.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
58%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw33% Nottingham Forest FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–5 not predicted
5 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
1 – 1
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
4 – 2
3.5%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 12% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 15% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 11% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
10%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.