Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Mon 10 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Matthew Wilkes
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Gary Beswick
  • Referee Adam Nunn
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–4 L
16 Sep Fulham FC H 2–3 L
03 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–3 L
31 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–6 L
28 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Oct Leeds United FC A 0–0 D
16 Sep Southampton FC H 1–0 W
03 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
28 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#13 Position #16
5 Points 4
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
4 Scored 4
5 Conceded 9
-1 GD -5
1.00 PPG 0.80
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Yates suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' A goal from the Nigeria international Emmanuel Dennis! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-0!
  • 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Serge Aurier on 18.
  • 19' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Serge Aurier on 19 minutes.
  • 22' What a strike from Ashley Young! The score is 1-1.
  • 27' Controversy at the stadium! Steve Cook argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 32' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' Nottingham Forest FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Ezri Konsa argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 50' That is a Yellow card for Aston Villa FC. John McGinn will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Neco Williams is hanging Serge Aurier on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Philippe Coutinho has done his job and it is now time for Danny Ings to step up.
  • 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Sam Surridge comes on to replace Emmanuel Dennis.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Jacob Ramsey argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 76' Jacob Ramsey is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 77' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace John McGinn by Leander Dendoncker on 77 minute.
  • 81' The whistle greets Jacob Ramsey as he departs to be replaced by Cameron Archer.
  • 82' Ryan Yates is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryan Yates.
  • 88' Emiliano Martinez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Lewis O'Brien comes on to replace Morgan Gibbs-White.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC37% Draw29% Aston Villa FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
63%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC28% Draw47% Aston Villa FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.