Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Mon 10 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Matthew Wilkes
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Gary Beswick
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–4 L
16 Sep Fulham FC H 2–3 L
03 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–3 L
31 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–6 L
28 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Oct Leeds United FC A 0–0 D
16 Sep Southampton FC H 1–0 W
03 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
28 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#23 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw34% Aston Villa FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
71%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC18% Draw57% Aston Villa FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.1%
0 – 1
14.8%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.