Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Nottingham Forest FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Aston Villa FC

Mon 10 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Serge Aurier 18' Y

Serge Aurier 19' Y

Steve Cook 27' Y

Y 45' Ezri Konsa

Y 50' John McGinn

Y 75' Jacob Ramsey

Y 76' Jacob Ramsey

Ryan Yates 82' Y

Ryan Yates 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett
Referee Matthew Wilkes
Referee Tony Harrington
Referee Anthony Taylor
Referee Gary Beswick
Referee Adam Nunn

5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2019-03-13 Nottingham Forest FC 1–3 Aston Villa FC 2018-11-28 Aston Villa FC 5–5 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Aston Villa FC	H	1–1	D
03 Oct	Leicester City FC	A	0–4	L
16 Sep	Fulham FC	H	2–3	L
03 Sep	AFC Bournemouth	H	2–3	L
31 Aug	Manchester City FC	A	0–6	L
28 Aug	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	0–2	L

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Nottingham Forest FC	A	1–1	D
02 Oct	Leeds United FC	A	0–0	D
16 Sep	Southampton FC	H	1–0	W
03 Sep	Manchester City FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Arsenal FC	A	1–2	L
28 Aug	West Ham United FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Aston Villa FC
#16	Position	#10
9	Points	13
10	Played	10
2 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 4 / 3
9	Scored	14
13	Conceded	17
-4	GD	-3
0.90	PPG	1.30
20%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

2/1

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Aston Villa FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/–

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Liam Delap	3 G
Dan Ndoye	2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A

Aston Villa FC

Nicolas Jackson	6 G	1 A
Johan Manzambi	2 G	3 A
Alysson	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Aston Villa FC kicks off things out of here…
5' A quiet spell here at City Ground, Nottingham. Aston Villa FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
15' A stunning finish from Emmanuel Dennis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
18' The referee shows Nottingham Forest FC player a Yellow card on 18.
19' The referee shows Nottingham Forest FC player a Yellow card on 19.
22' A goal from the England international Ashley Young! He fires home on 22 to make it 1-1!
27' Steve Cook is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Douglas Luiz made 212 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 369 games and scored 524 goals.
45' A moment of madness from Ezri Konsa on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
50' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for John McGinn.
55' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's shape.
58' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Serge Aurier by Neco Williams on 58 minute.
63' John McGinn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
65' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Danny Ings on, Philippe Coutinho off on 65 minutes.
70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nottingham Forest FC winning 100% of all matches.
71' Sam Surridge is replacing Emmanuel Dennis for the Nottingham Forest FC side.
75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jacob Ramsey.
76' Jacob Ramsey picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
77' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. John McGinn has done his job and it is now time for Leander Dendoncker to step up.
81' Aston Villa FC make a change. Jacob Ramsey trudges off to be replaced by Cameron Archer on 81 minutes.
82' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryan Yates on 82 minutes.
83' Ryan Yates has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 83.
88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Gerrard will be considering his options from the bench.
90' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Morgan Gibbs-White departs to be replaced by Lewis O'Brien.
It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

25
Emmanuel Dennis ↓ Sam Surridge 71'
21
Cheikhou Kouyate
3
Steve Cook
24
Serge Aurier ↓ Neco Williams 58'
22
Ryan Yates
1
Dean Henderson
10
Morgan Gibbs-White ↓ Lewis O'Brien 90'
15
Harry Toffolo
23
Remo Freuler
26
Scott McKenna
20
Brennan Johnson

Bench

Coach Steve Cooper

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steven Gerrard

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tammy Abraham	4
John McGinn	4
Ollie Watkins	3
Douglas Luiz	2
Lewis Grabban	2
Chris Wood	1
Matty Cash	1
Orel Mangala	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.46 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 Aston Villa FC xG

I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC34% Draw27% Aston Villa FC39%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Aston Villa FC

66%

Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC25% Draw43% Aston Villa FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.9%

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

Aston Villa FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Clean Sheet