Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Crystal Palace FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Crystal Palace FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee John Busby
  • Referee Natalie Aspinall
  • Referee
  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Referee Eddie Smart

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Crystal Palace FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Everton FC A 2–0 W
18 Feb Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
12 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–4 L
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Liverpool FC H 0–0 D
18 Feb Brentford FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
04 Feb Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Crystal Palace FC
#11 Position #22
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Crystal Palace FC are 22nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.73 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Crystal Palace FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC37% Draw35% Crystal Palace FC28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Crystal Palace FC
63%
Aston Villa FC or Crystal Palace FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC18% Draw63% Crystal Palace FC19%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25%
0 – 1
15.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
2%
0 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
1.3%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Crystal Palace FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 20% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 21% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Crystal Palace FC keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.