Thursday , 2 July 2026

Almere City FC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 12 Nov 2023 · 13:30 UTC Yanmar Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 68' Chuba Akpom
1–2 82' Benjamin Tahirovic
Thomas Robinet pen 90+3' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Almere City FC vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Yanmar Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ribbink

Head-to-Head

1
3
Almere City FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
05 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 2–1 W
28 Oct Go Ahead Eagles H 0–0 D
21 Oct NEC A 1–1 D
07 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 1–0 W
30 Sep FC Utrecht A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov Almere City FC A 2–2 D
09 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Heerenveen H 4–1 W
02 Nov FC Volendam H 2–0 W
29 Oct PSV A 2–5 L
26 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 Almere City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Almere City FC47% Draw26% AFC Ajax27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Almere City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
53%
Almere City FC or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Almere City FC33% Draw44% AFC Ajax23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Almere City FC

Handicap Almere City FC covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Almere City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.