PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
12 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | Racing Club de Lens | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 4–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Sevilla FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | FC Volendam | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | PSV | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Utrecht | A | 3–4 | L |
| 08 Oct | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | PAE AEK | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| PSV | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 5 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 24 | Scored | 21 |
| 10 | Conceded | 9 |
| +14 | GD | +12 |
| 2.29 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 71% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PSV are 3rd (16 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 4 G | 1 A |
| Guus Til | 4 G | |
| Ricardo Pepi | 3 G | |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 G | 2 A |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PSV to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Steven Bergwijn made 440 appearances and scored 61 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Branco van den Boomen makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 13' Poor challenge from Jorrel Hato. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 14' Jorrel Hato picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' A stunning finish from Hirving Lozano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 21' A stunning finish from Hirving Lozano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 26' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Philips Stadion. PSV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' A stunning finish from Brian Brobbey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' The whistle greets Joey Veerman as he departs to be replaced by Ismael Saibari.
- 49' The Switzerland centre-forward Luuk de Jong breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 3-2!
- 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ismael Saibari makes it 4-2.
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' Hirving Lozano makes a hat-trick on 60.
- 62' A moment of madness from Steven Bergwijn on 62 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- 63' Controversy at the stadium! Steven Bergwijn argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 64' Steven Berghuis makes way for Mika Godts at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 69' PSV currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 72' Hirving Lozano adds to his 1 season tally! PSV lead 6-2 — and this changes everything.
- 75' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Gaston Avila is replaced by Anass Salah-Eddine.
- 80' Belgium international Mika Godts has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Ricardo Pepi. He replaces Luuk de Jong on 83 minute.
- 88' Anton Gaaei has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' Ismael Saibari was booked on 90.
- 90' The PSV manager makes a substitution. Hirving Lozano departs to be replaced by Isaac Babadi.
- AFC Ajax will have plenty to reflect on. PSV were simply the better side today.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↓ Isaac Babadi 90'
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 83'
- 3
- 22
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 8
-
23
Joey Veerman ↓ Ismael Saibari 46'
-
10
Malik Tillman ↓ Guus Til 46'
- 11
Bench
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 46'
- 30
- 16
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 83'
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 46'
- 2
-
32
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 83'
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↑ 90'
Coach
Peter Bosz
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Mika Godts 64'
- 40
- 21
- 30
- 37
- 8
- 9
- 4
- 38
- 3
Bench
- 22
- 10
- 18
- 19
- 51
-
17
Anass Salah-Eddine ↑ 75'
- 33
- 49
-
24
Silvano Vos ↑ 75'
-
39
Mika Godts ↑ 64'
- 47
Coach
Hedwiges Maduro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.86
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
77%
Draw or AFC Ajax
42%
PSV or AFC Ajax
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 18% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

