PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | Racing Club de Lens | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 4–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Sevilla FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | FC Volendam | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | PSV | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Utrecht | A | 3–4 | L |
| 08 Oct | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | PAE AEK | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| PSV | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 8 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| 40 | Scored | 32 |
| 15 | Conceded | 15 |
| +25 | GD | +17 |
| 2.17 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 67% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PSV are 1st (26 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Philips Stadion!
- 5' Yorbe Vertessen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 451 appearances.
- 10' Branco van den Boomen adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 13' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Jorrel Hato gets a Yellow card.
- 14' The referee has no hesitation. Jorrel Hato is booked for AFC Ajax — Yellow card on 14.
- 19' PSV looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lutsharel Geertruida scoring 1 goals.
- 20' Hirving Lozano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 21' Hirving Lozano makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and PSV are in front.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 451 games and scored 855 goals.
- 36' Kristian Hlynsson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Fresh legs for PSV! Ismael Saibari comes on to replace Joey Veerman.
- 49' What a moment for Luuk de Jong! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
- 52' Ismael Saibari does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
- 57' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' Magnificent from Hirving Lozano! That is 82 goals in 451 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 62' The referee calls foul for Steven Bergwijn. He receives a Yellow card.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Steven Bergwijn on 63.
- 64' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Mika Godts on, Steven Berghuis off on 64 minutes.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. PSV and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' Hirving Lozano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
- 75' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Gaston Avila departs to be replaced by Anass Salah-Eddine.
- 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 83' Ricardo Pepi gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Luuk de Jong and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for PSV. Ismael Saibari will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The PSV bench stirs into life. Hirving Lozano is withdrawn and Isaac Babadi gets his opportunity.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PSV to claim maximum points.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↓ Isaac Babadi 90'
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 83'
- 3
- 22
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 8
-
23
Joey Veerman ↓ Ismael Saibari 46'
-
10
Malik Tillman ↓ Guus Til 46'
- 11
Bench
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 46'
- 30
- 16
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 83'
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 46'
- 2
-
32
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 83'
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↑ 90'
Coach
Peter Bosz
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Mika Godts 64'
- 40
- 21
- 30
- 37
- 8
- 9
- 4
- 38
- 3
Bench
- 22
- 10
- 18
- 19
- 51
-
17
Anass Salah-Eddine ↑ 75'
- 33
- 49
-
24
Silvano Vos ↑ 75'
-
39
Mika Godts ↑ 64'
- 47
Coach
Hedwiges Maduro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.76
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
79%
Draw or AFC Ajax
40%
PSV or AFC Ajax
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 19% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

