Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
5 – 2
Full Time
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Philips Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Hirving Lozano 20' 1–1
1–2 40' Brian Brobbey
Luuk de Jong 49' 2–2
Ismael Saibari 52' 3–2
Hirving Lozano 60' 4–2
Hirving Lozano 72' 5–2

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct AFC Ajax H 5–2 W
24 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–1 D
21 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 3–1 W
08 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 4–0 W
03 Oct Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep FC Volendam H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct PSV A 2–5 L
26 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–2 L
22 Oct FC Utrecht A 3–4 L
08 Oct AZ H 1–2 L
05 Oct PAE AEK A 1–1 D
27 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#1 Position #3
26 Points 25
12 Played 12
8 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
40 Scored 32
15 Conceded 15
+25 GD +17
2.17 PPG 2.08
67% Win % 58%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 1st (26 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Philips Stadion!
  • 5' Yorbe Vertessen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 451 appearances.
  • 10' Branco van den Boomen adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 13' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Jorrel Hato gets a Yellow card.
  • 14' The referee has no hesitation. Jorrel Hato is booked for AFC Ajax — Yellow card on 14.
  • 19' PSV looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lutsharel Geertruida scoring 1 goals.
  • 20' Hirving Lozano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 21' Hirving Lozano makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and PSV are in front.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 451 games and scored 855 goals.
  • 36' Kristian Hlynsson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 40' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Fresh legs for PSV! Ismael Saibari comes on to replace Joey Veerman.
  • 49' What a moment for Luuk de Jong! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 52' Ismael Saibari does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
  • 57' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 60' Magnificent from Hirving Lozano! That is 82 goals in 451 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Steven Bergwijn. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Steven Bergwijn on 63.
  • 64' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Mika Godts on, Steven Berghuis off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. PSV and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' Hirving Lozano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
  • 75' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Gaston Avila departs to be replaced by Anass Salah-Eddine.
  • 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 83' Ricardo Pepi gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Luuk de Jong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for PSV. Ismael Saibari will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' The PSV bench stirs into life. Hirving Lozano is withdrawn and Isaac Babadi gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PSV to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.76 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV60% Draw19% AFC Ajax21%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
79%
Draw or AFC Ajax
40%
PSV or AFC Ajax
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV45% Draw34% AFC Ajax21%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 17% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 19% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.