Sunday , 4 October 2026

AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 22 Feb 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L
18 Feb Como 1907 H 1–1 D
13 Feb AC Pisa 1909 A 2–1 W
03 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 3–0 W
25 Jan AS Roma A 1–1 D
18 Jan US Lecce H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb AC Milan A 1–0 W
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
08 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–0 W
01 Feb Juventus FC H 1–4 L
25 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–4 L
18 Jan Genoa CFC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Parma Calcio 1913
#5 Position #15
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 4
4 Conceded 7
+6 GD -3
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
Parma Calcio 1913 this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Parma Calcio 1913 are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Parma Calcio 1913
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
Parma Calcio 1913
Jose Romero 2 G
Simone Lontani 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan53% Draw27% Parma Calcio 191320%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or Parma Calcio 1913
47%
AC Milan or Parma Calcio 1913
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan40% Draw47% Parma Calcio 191313%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Parma Calcio 1913 covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.