Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 22 Feb 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
11 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–1 L
18 Feb Como 1907 H 1–1 D
13 Feb AC Pisa 1909 A 2–1 W
03 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 3–0 W
25 Jan AS Roma A 1–1 D
18 Jan US Lecce H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb AC Milan A 1–0 W
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 2–1 W
08 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–0 W
01 Feb Juventus FC H 1–4 L
25 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–4 L
18 Jan Genoa CFC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Parma Calcio 1913
#5 Position #12
70 Points 45
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 12 / 15
53 Scored 28
35 Conceded 46
+18 GD -18
1.84 PPG 1.18
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Parma Calcio 1913 are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw30% Parma Calcio 191323%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
76%
Draw or Parma Calcio 1913
53%
AC Milan or Parma Calcio 1913
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan33% Draw51% Parma Calcio 191316%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Parma Calcio 1913 covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.