AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 14.2 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | US Lecce | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | Como 1907 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Jan | Genoa CFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | AC Milan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jan | AS Roma | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Dec | Como 1907 | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #14 |
| 24 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 12 |
| 13 | Conceded | 22 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 1 |
| Lameck Banda | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.42
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
93%
Draw or US Lecce
24%
AC Milan or US Lecce
83%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.7%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
5 – 0
3.4%
0 – 1
2.3%
2 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| -1 | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

