AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | US Lecce | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | Como 1907 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Jan | Genoa CFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | AC Milan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jan | AS Roma | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Dec | Como 1907 | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 70 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 53 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Khouma Babacar | 1 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 70% + AC Milan to win 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
92%
Draw or US Lecce
30%
AC Milan or US Lecce
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
16.7%
0 – 0
13.3%
3 – 0
9.5%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
2%
1 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 6% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
65%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.