Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
1 – 0
Full Time
US Lecce
Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs US Lecce — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

8
3
AC Milan 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals US Lecce
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan US Lecce H 1–0 W
15 Jan Como 1907 A 3–1 W
11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
US Lecce
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan AC Milan A 0–1 L
14 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
11 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–2 L
06 Jan AS Roma H 0–2 L
03 Jan Juventus FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec Como 1907 H 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan US Lecce
#5 Position #12
11 Points 6
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 5
4 Conceded 10
+6 GD -5
2.20 PPG 1.20
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 1 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G
Olaf Gorter 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host US Lecce — let the battle begin!
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 5
Christian Pulisic 5
Theo Hernandez 2
Olivier Giroud 2
Davide Calabria 2
Nikola Krstovic 2
Alexis Blin 1
Adrien Rabiot 1

Head to Head

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce

AC Milan Form

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce W 2026-01-15 Como 1907 1–3 AC Milan W 2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-08 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W

US Lecce Form

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-14 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-11 US Lecce 1–2 Parma Calcio 1913 L 2026-01-06 US Lecce 0–2 AS Roma L 2026-01-03 Juventus FC 1–1 US Lecce D 2025-12-27 US Lecce 0–3 Como 1907 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.46 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan78% Draw16% US Lecce6%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
94%
Draw or US Lecce
22%
AC Milan or US Lecce
84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan59% Draw37% US Lecce4%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
13.3%
4 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
5 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
5 – 1
1.9%
0 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 35% — 65%
-2 35% 23% 41%
-1.5 59% — 41%
-1 59% 22% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
65% ✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.