AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

AS Roma

1 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Serie A .

AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

AS Roma 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-25 AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan 2025-11-02 AC Milan 1–0 AS Roma 2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan 2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AS Roma

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–1	D
22 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
18 Jan	Torino FC	A	2–0	W
10 Jan	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–0	W
06 Jan	US Lecce	A	2–0	W
03 Jan	Atalanta BC	A	0–1	L

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	AS Roma	A	1–1	D
18 Jan	US Lecce	H	1–0	W
15 Jan	Como 1907	A	3–1	W
11 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–1	D
08 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
02 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

AS Roma		AC Milan
#3	Position	#5
73	Points	70
38	Played	38
23 / 4 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
59	Scored	53
31	Conceded	35
+28	GD	+18
1.92	PPG	1.84
61%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AS Roma is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	5
Franck Kessie	3
Tammy Abraham	3
Olivier Giroud	3
Gianluca Mancini	3
Ante Rebic	2
Jordan Veretout	2
Leandro Paredes	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.35 AS Roma xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: AS Roma or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AS Roma45% Draw29% AC Milan26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw

74%

Draw or AC Milan

55%

AS Roma or AC Milan

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AS Roma31% Draw51% AC Milan18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.3%

0 – 0

12.2%

2 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

8.4%

1 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 2

1.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap	AS Roma covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	23%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.