Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2025-26

Watford FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Stoke City FC	H	1–0	W
13 Dec	Wrexham AFC	A	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Norwich City FC	H	3–2	W
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Watford FC	A	0–1	L
13 Dec	Swansea City AFC	H	2–1	W
10 Dec	Ipswich Town FC	A	0–1	L
06 Dec	Sheffield United FC	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	1–2	L
25 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Watford FC		Stoke City FC
#16	Position	#17
57	Points	55
46	Played	46
14 / 15 / 17	W / D / L	15 / 10 / 21
53	Scored	51
65	Conceded	56
-12	GD	-5
1.24	PPG	1.20
30%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Watford FC and Stoke City FC.
Full Time. Watford FC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Steven Fletcher	2
Edo Kayembe	2
Imran Louza	2
Andre Vidigal	1
Ryan Mmaee	1
Nick Powell	1

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-13 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Watford FC D 2025-12-09 Watford FC 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC D 2025-12-06 Watford FC 3–2 Norwich City FC W 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-13 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-12-10 Ipswich Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-06 Sheffield United FC 4–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-11-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Hull City AFC L 2025-11-25 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.34 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.8 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC51% Draw29% Stoke City FC20%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Stoke City FC

49%

Watford FC or Stoke City FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC32% Draw52% Stoke City FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

14.1%

1 – 1

13.5%

2 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

8.2%

0 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

2 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	15%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	25%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.