Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Watford FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Stoke City FC	H	1–0	W
13 Dec	Wrexham AFC	A	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Norwich City FC	H	3–2	W
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Watford FC	A	0–1	L
13 Dec	Swansea City AFC	H	2–1	W
10 Dec	Ipswich Town FC	A	0–1	L
06 Dec	Sheffield United FC	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	1–2	L
25 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Watford FC		Stoke City FC
#20	Position	#3
15	Points	29
15	Played	15
4 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	24
23	Conceded	18
-10	GD	+6
1.00	PPG	1.93
27%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. watford fc is hosting stoke city fc for another epic battle.
Full Time. watford fc beats stoke city fc

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Imran Louza	2
Steven Fletcher	2
Edo Kayembe	2
Andre Vidigal	1
Ryan Mmaee	1
Nick Powell	1

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-13 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Watford FC D 2025-12-09 Watford FC 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC D 2025-12-06 Watford FC 3–2 Norwich City FC W 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-13 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-12-10 Ipswich Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-06 Sheffield United FC 4–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-11-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Hull City AFC L 2025-11-25 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.13 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC43% Draw30% Stoke City FC27%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Stoke City FC

57%

Watford FC or Stoke City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC25% Draw53% Stoke City FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 0

14.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

2.8%

3 – 0

2.6%

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	19%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.