Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Watford FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Stoke City FC	H	1–0	W
13 Dec	Wrexham AFC	A	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Norwich City FC	H	3–2	W
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Watford FC	A	0–1	L
13 Dec	Swansea City AFC	H	2–1	W
10 Dec	Ipswich Town FC	A	0–1	L
06 Dec	Sheffield United FC	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	1–2	L
25 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Watford FC		Stoke City FC
#20	Position	#7
8	Points	13
8	Played	8
2 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 3
7	Scored	13
10	Conceded	12
-3	GD	+1
1.00	PPG	1.63
25%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Stoke City FC

Ethan Galbraith	4 G	1 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at .
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Imran Louza	2
Steven Fletcher	2
Edo Kayembe	2
Troy Deeney	1
Jack McGlynn	1
Ken Sema	1

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-13 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Watford FC D 2025-12-09 Watford FC 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC D 2025-12-06 Watford FC 3–2 Norwich City FC W 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-13 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-12-10 Ipswich Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-12-06 Sheffield United FC 4–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-11-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Hull City AFC L 2025-11-25 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.24 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC47% Draw29% Stoke City FC24%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Stoke City FC

53%

Watford FC or Stoke City FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC29% Draw53% Stoke City FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.3%

1 – 1

14%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3.6%

3 – 1

3.3%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.