Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC 2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Watford FC	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Ipswich Town FC	H	3–3	D
07 Mar	Swansea City AFC	A	0–2	L
28 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
10 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–1	D
27 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	2–1	W
24 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	0–2	L
21 Feb	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W
14 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Watford FC
#17	Position	#16
55	Points	57
46	Played	46
15 / 10 / 21	W / D / L	14 / 15 / 17
51	Scored	53
56	Conceded	65
-5	GD	-12
1.20	PPG	1.24
33%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Stoke City FC and Watford FC is underway.
Full Time. Stoke City FC beats Watford FC

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Steven Fletcher	2
Edo Kayembe	2
Imran Louza	2
Ryan Mmaee	1
Nick Powell	1
Jake Livermore	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC W 2026-03-10 Stoke City FC 3–3 Ipswich Town FC D 2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-28 Coventry City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-25 Stoke City FC 2–1 Oxford United FC W 2026-02-21 Stoke City FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D

Watford FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2026-03-10 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2026-02-27 Bristol City FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2026-02-24 Watford FC 0–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC W 2026-02-14 Preston North End FC 2–2 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Watford FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC45% Draw27% Watford FC28%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Watford FC

55%

Stoke City FC or Watford FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC31% Draw46% Watford FC23%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 0

8.4%

0 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

7.1%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.