Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 24.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC 2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Watford FC	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Ipswich Town FC	H	3–3	D
07 Mar	Swansea City AFC	A	0–2	L
28 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
10 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–1	D
27 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	2–1	W
24 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	0–2	L
21 Feb	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W
14 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Watford FC
#3	Position	#20
29	Points	15
15	Played	15
9 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 8
24	Scored	13
18	Conceded	23
+6	GD	-10
1.93	PPG	1.00
60%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Stoke City FC gets underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Watford FC.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Imran Louza	2
Steven Fletcher	2
Edo Kayembe	2
Eric Bocat	1
Troy Deeney	1
Jack McGlynn	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC W 2026-03-10 Stoke City FC 3–3 Ipswich Town FC D 2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-28 Coventry City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-25 Stoke City FC 2–1 Oxford United FC W 2026-02-21 Stoke City FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D

Watford FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2026-03-10 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2026-02-27 Bristol City FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2026-02-24 Watford FC 0–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC W 2026-02-14 Preston North End FC 2–2 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.83 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC52% Draw25% Watford FC23%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Watford FC

48%

Stoke City FC or Watford FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC38% Draw44% Watford FC18%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.2%

2 – 0

0 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

3 – 2

3.2%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	17%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	23%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.