Monday , 12 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Southampton FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Cyle Larin 8' 1–0
1–1 26' Ethan Galbraith
Divin Mubama 89' 2–1
Ryan Manning pen 90+4' 3–1
James Bree 19' Y
Y 38' Sam Gallagher
Flynn Downes 50' Y
Ryan Manning 53' Y
Y 62' Ethan Galbraith
Y 82' Maksym Taloverov
Y 86' Svante Ingelsson
YR 90' Svante Ingelsson

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

3
2
Southampton FC 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-08-22 Southampton FC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2026-01-31 Stoke City FC 0–2 Southampton FC 2025-08-23 Southampton FC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-04-27 Southampton FC 0–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-03 Stoke City FC 0–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
16 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
12 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
09 May Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
02 May Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Southampton FC A 1–3 L
15 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
02 May Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
25 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–3 L
21 Apr Millwall FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Stoke City FC
#13 Position #7
10 Points 13
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
19 Scored 13
10 Conceded 12
+9 GD +1
1.25 PPG 1.63
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 2 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Stoke City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ben Johnson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 8' Magnificent from Cyle Larin! That is 48 goals in 34 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 13' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. James Bree has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 19' That looks like a foul for a card for James Bree.
  • 24' Slovakia international Tomas Rigo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 26' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ethan Galbraith makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 388 games and scored 413 goals.
  • 36' Ben Gibson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sam Gallagher on 38 minutes.
  • 43' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 48' Southampton FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Flynn Downes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryan Manning.
  • 53' Ryan Manning is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 62' Ethan Galbraith is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 62' Robert Bozenik is ready to make an impact after coming on for George Hirst at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' Leo Scienza is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 70' Svante Ingelsson gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Sam Gallagher and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Cyle Larin exits the field as Divin Mubama enters on 78.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Tomas Rigo. He replaces El Hadji Soumare on 81 minute.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Maksym Taloverov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' Svante Ingelsson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 89' The England forward Divin Mubama breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-1!
  • 90' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Svante Ingelsson gets a card.
  • 90' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Tom Fellows exits the field as Samuel Edozie enters on 90.
  • With this win, Southampton FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ryan Manning 1
Cyle Larin 1
Divin Mubama 1
Stuart Armstrong 1
Tyrese Campbell 1
Ethan Galbraith 1

Head to Head

2026-08-22 Southampton FC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2026-01-31 Stoke City FC 0–2 Southampton FC 2025-08-23 Southampton FC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-04-27 Southampton FC 0–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-03 Stoke City FC 0–1 Southampton FC

Southampton FC Form

2026-08-22 Southampton FC 3–1 Stoke City FC W 2026-08-16 Watford FC 2–1 Southampton FC L 2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC D 2026-05-02 Preston North End FC 1–3 Southampton FC W 2026-04-28 Southampton FC 2–2 Ipswich Town FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2026-08-22 Southampton FC 3–1 Stoke City FC L 2026-08-15 Stoke City FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC L 2026-05-02 Bristol City FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2026-04-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-04-21 Stoke City FC 1–3 Millwall FC L 2026-04-18 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.47 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Southampton FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC66% Draw19% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Stoke City FC
34%
Southampton FC or Stoke City FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC49% Draw37% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 19% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 21% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.