Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,894 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
15 Feb Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
12 Feb Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Leeds United FC H 0–4 L
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Watford FC
#17 Position #16
55 Points 57
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
51 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
-5 GD -12
1.20 PPG 1.24
33% Win % 30%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stoke City FC and Watford FC get this one started.
  • 5' Watford FC come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vakoun Issouf Bayo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 20' The 22-year-old Joon-ho Bae has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 30' Nigeria international Tom Dele-Bashiru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ben Pearson.
  • 38' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' Enda Stevens is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Abankwah, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' Stoke City FC have won 400 goals from 380 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' The whistle greets Ali Al-Hamadi as he departs to be replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 69' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' The whistle greets Mamadou Doumbia as he departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 74' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Jordan Thompson is withdrawn and Tatsuki Seko gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Andrew Moran by Million Manhoef on 75 minute.
  • 76' Watford FC make a change. Giorgi Chakvetadze trudges off to be replaced by Rocco Vata on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 89' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Yasser Larouci and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Watford FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC33% Draw31% Watford FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Watford FC
67%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC22% Draw52% Watford FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.