Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,894 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
15 Feb Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
12 Feb Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Leeds United FC H 0–4 L
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Watford FC
#7 Position #20
13 Points 8
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
13 Scored 7
12 Conceded 10
+1 GD -3
1.63 PPG 1.00
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Watford FC.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Mamadou Doumbia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Cleverley will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 363 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 25' Ashley Phillips needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jeremy Ngakia, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Ben Pearson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 53' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' Iraq international Ali Al-Hamadi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 63' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' Sam Gallagher is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ali Al-Hamadi at the 66 minute mark.
  • 69' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 69' Mamadou Doumbia makes way for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Tatsuki Seko comes on to replace Jordan Thompson.
  • 75' Stoke City FC make a change. Andrew Moran trudges off to be replaced by Million Manhoef on 75 minutes.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Rocco Vata. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 76 minute.
  • 81' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 89' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Yasser Larouci exits the field as Ryan Andrews enters on 89.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Watford FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC37% Draw31% Watford FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Watford FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC25% Draw52% Watford FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.