Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #16 |
| 55 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 51 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| -5 | GD | -12 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 33% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stoke City FC and Watford FC get this one started.
- 5' Watford FC come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vakoun Issouf Bayo suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 20' The 22-year-old Joon-ho Bae has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 30' Nigeria international Tom Dele-Bashiru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ben Pearson.
- 38' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 48' Enda Stevens is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Abankwah, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' Stoke City FC have won 400 goals from 380 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 66' The whistle greets Ali Al-Hamadi as he departs to be replaced by Sam Gallagher.
- 69' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 69' The whistle greets Mamadou Doumbia as he departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 74' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Jordan Thompson is withdrawn and Tatsuki Seko gets his opportunity.
- 75' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Andrew Moran by Million Manhoef on 75 minute.
- 76' Watford FC make a change. Giorgi Chakvetadze trudges off to be replaced by Rocco Vata on 76 minutes.
- 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 86' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 89' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Yasser Larouci and will look to change the dynamic.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 4
- 3
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Tatsuki Seko 74'
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 66'
- 26
-
24
Andrew Moran ↓ Million Manhoef 75'
- 10
- 11
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 66'
- 13
- 5
- 17
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 74'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 75'
- 18
- 35
- 56
Coach
Mark Robins
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Moussa Sissoko 69'
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 76'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ryan Andrews 89'
- 2
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↑ 69'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 69'
- 26
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 76'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 89'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
| Jake Livermore | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Watford FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Watford FC
67%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

