Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #20 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | -3 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Watford FC.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Mamadou Doumbia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Cleverley will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 363 games and scored 396 goals.
- 25' Ashley Phillips needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jeremy Ngakia, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' Ben Pearson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
- 38' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 53' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' Iraq international Ali Al-Hamadi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 63' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 66' Sam Gallagher is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ali Al-Hamadi at the 66 minute mark.
- 69' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 69' Mamadou Doumbia makes way for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 74' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Tatsuki Seko comes on to replace Jordan Thompson.
- 75' Stoke City FC make a change. Andrew Moran trudges off to be replaced by Million Manhoef on 75 minutes.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Rocco Vata. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 76 minute.
- 81' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 89' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Yasser Larouci exits the field as Ryan Andrews enters on 89.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 4
- 3
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Tatsuki Seko 74'
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 66'
- 26
-
24
Andrew Moran ↓ Million Manhoef 75'
- 10
- 11
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 66'
- 13
- 5
- 17
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 74'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 75'
- 18
- 35
- 56
Coach
Mark Robins
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Moussa Sissoko 69'
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 76'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ryan Andrews 89'
- 2
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↑ 69'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 69'
- 26
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 76'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 89'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
| Jake Livermore | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Watford FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Watford FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

