Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 9 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 24 | Scored | 13 |
| 18 | Conceded | 23 |
| +6 | GD | -10 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 60% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Stoke City FC and Watford FC is underway.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' The 27-year-old Ben Wilmot has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 30' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 33' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Ben Pearson will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 48' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' Watford FC come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 66' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
- 69' That is a card for Watford FC. Giorgi Chakvetadze will be fuming at that decision.
- 69' Another change for Watford FC made on 69 minute. Mamadou Doumbia leaves to be changed by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 74' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Jordan Thompson by Tatsuki Seko on 74 minute.
- 75' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Andrew Moran is withdrawn and Million Manhoef gets his opportunity.
- 76' Rocco Vata gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 373 games and scored 406 goals.
- 89' Yasser Larouci makes way for Ryan Andrews at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 4
- 3
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Tatsuki Seko 74'
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 66'
- 26
-
24
Andrew Moran ↓ Million Manhoef 75'
- 10
- 11
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 66'
- 13
- 5
- 17
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 74'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 75'
- 18
- 35
- 56
Coach
Mark Robins
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Moussa Sissoko 69'
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 76'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ryan Andrews 89'
- 2
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↑ 69'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 69'
- 26
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 76'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 89'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Eric Bocat | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Jack McGlynn | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Watford FC
58%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

