Sunday , 16 August 2026

AVS vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
AVS
2 – 2
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
  • CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 2 6
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 4
3 CD Santa Clara 2 4
4 CS Marítimo 1 3
5 FC Arouca 1 3
6 Gil Vicente FC 1 3
7 CF Estrela da Amadora 2 2
8 Moreirense FC 1 1
9 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 1
10 Sporting Clube de Braga 1 1
11 Académico de Viseu FC 2 1
12 FC Famalicão 1 1
13 GD Estoril Praia 1 1
14 CD Nacional 1 1
15 FC Alverca 2 1
16 Casa Pia AC 1 0
17 Vitória SC 2 0
18 Rio Ave FC 2 0

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
AVS 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional 2025-01-19 CD Nacional 3–1 AVS 2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec CD Nacional H 2–2 D
13 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
06 Dec Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
28 Nov Vitória SC A 0–4 L
09 Nov Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
02 Nov CD Tondela H 2–2 D
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec AVS A 2–2 D
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
09 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–1 D
01 Nov FC Famalicão H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . AVS are looking to make home advantage count against CD Nacional.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: AVS or CD Nacional 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AVS37% Draw28% CD Nacional35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw
65%
Draw or CD Nacional
63%
AVS or CD Nacional
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AVS27% Draw46% CD Nacional27%
Actual: AVS win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap AVS covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.