Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Alverca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Alverca
1 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

2
1
FC Alverca 3 games · Avg 2.0 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D
31 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
24 Oct Gil Vicente FC H 0–4 L
04 Oct AVS A 3–1 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
09 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–1 D
01 Nov FC Famalicão H 0–1 L
26 Oct GD Estoril Praia A 1–1 D
04 Oct Moreirense FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

FC Alverca CD Nacional
#12 Position #15
8 Points 4
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
9 Scored 7
11 Conceded 15
-2 GD -8
1.14 PPG 0.57
29% Win % 14%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Alverca are 12th (8 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Alverca
Dawda Camara 3 G
Vivaldo Semedo 2 G
Lucas Figueiredo 1 G
Ian Luccas 1 G
CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Alverca to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca56% Draw26% CD Nacional18%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
81%
Draw or CD Nacional
44%
FC Alverca or CD Nacional
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca38% Draw48% CD Nacional14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.