Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Alverca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Alverca
1 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

2
1
FC Alverca 3 games · Avg 2.0 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D
31 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
24 Oct Gil Vicente FC H 0–4 L
04 Oct AVS A 3–1 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
09 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–1 D
01 Nov FC Famalicão H 0–1 L
26 Oct GD Estoril Praia A 1–1 D
04 Oct Moreirense FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

FC Alverca CD Nacional
#11 Position #13
12 Points 10
11 Played 11
3 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 7
14 Scored 11
15 Conceded 19
-1 GD -8
1.09 PPG 0.91
27% Win % 27%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Alverca are 11th (12 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Alverca
Dawda Camara 3 G
Vivaldo Semedo 3 G
Chiquinho 2 G 3 A
Lucas Figueiredo 2 G
Ian Luccas 2 G
CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca53% Draw27% CD Nacional20%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
81%
Draw or CD Nacional
47%
FC Alverca or CD Nacional
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca35% Draw51% CD Nacional14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
12.9%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.