Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
3 – 1
Full Time
CD Tondela
Mon 15 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CD Tondela — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo Baixinho
6 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

4
1
1
CD Nacional 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals CD Tondela
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela 2021-04-22 CD Tondela 2–1 CD Nacional 2020-12-27 CD Nacional 2–0 CD Tondela 2019-03-02 CD Nacional 3–2 CD Tondela 2018-10-05 CD Tondela 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
09 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–1 D
01 Nov FC Famalicão H 0–1 L
26 Oct GD Estoril Praia A 1–1 D
CD Tondela
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec CD Nacional A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Porto H 0–2 L
29 Nov Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
08 Nov Vitória SC H 0–1 L
02 Nov AVS A 2–2 D
26 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–3 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional CD Tondela
#14 Position #17
34 Points 28
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 18
37 Scored 27
45 Conceded 55
-8 GD -28
1.00 PPG 0.82
26% Win % 18%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
21% Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and CD Tondela has kicked off!
  • With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Brayan Riascos 2
Fernando Tissone 1
Vitor Goncalves 1
Ruben Micael 1
Jhon Murillo 1
David Bruno 1
Ricardo Alves 1
David Bruno 1

Head to Head

2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela 2021-04-22 CD Tondela 2–1 CD Nacional 2020-12-27 CD Nacional 2–0 CD Tondela 2019-03-02 CD Nacional 3–2 CD Tondela 2018-10-05 CD Tondela 1–1 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-11-01 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Famalicão L 2025-10-26 GD Estoril Praia 1–1 CD Nacional D

CD Tondela Form

2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela L 2025-12-07 CD Tondela 0–2 FC Porto L 2025-11-29 Gil Vicente FC 0–1 CD Tondela W 2025-11-08 CD Tondela 0–1 Vitória SC L 2025-11-02 AVS 2–2 CD Tondela D 2025-10-26 CD Tondela 0–3 Sporting Clube de Portugal L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.7 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional53% Draw25% CD Tondela22%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
79%
Draw or CD Tondela
47%
CD Nacional or CD Tondela
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional37% Draw46% CD Tondela17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.