CD Nacional vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs CD Tondela — Primeira Liga .
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- CD Tondela 32 games · 27 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ricardo Baixinho
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | CD Tondela | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | FC Alverca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | FC Famalicão | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | GD Estoril Praia | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | CD Nacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | FC Porto | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | AVS | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brayan Riascos | 2 |
| Vitor Goncalves | 1 |
| Ruben Micael | 1 |
| Jhon Murillo | 1 |
| David Bruno | 1 |
| Ricardo Alves | 1 |
| David Bruno | 1 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
CD Tondela xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or CD Tondela
51%
CD Nacional or CD Tondela
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | CD Tondela covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.