Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfB Stuttgart
1 – 3
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Angelo Stiller 34' 1–0
1–1 45' Michael Olise
1–2 64' Leon Goretzka
1–3 90+1' Kingsley Coman
Finn Jeltsch 39' Y
Julian Chabot 42' Y
Chris Fuhrich 48' Y
Y 59' Konrad Laimer
Y 66' Leon Goretzka
Y 90' Harry Kane
Enzo Millot 90' Y
Ermedin Demirovic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
2
12
VfB Stuttgart 15 games · Avg 4.1 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 FC Bayern München 2024-10-19 FC Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern München 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart 2023-03-04 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
08 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 2–1 W
04 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
01 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–2 L
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
23 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
18 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
12 Feb Celtic FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 3–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart FC Bayern München
#4 Position #1
62 Points 89
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
71 Scored 122
49 Conceded 36
+22 GD +86
1.82 PPG 2.62
53% Win % 82%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sebastian Hoeneß will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
  • 25' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 30' Joao Palhinha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfB Stuttgart tonight.
  • 34' A goal from the Germany international Angelo Stiller! He fires home on 34 to make it 1-0!
  • 39' Controversy at the stadium! Finn Jeltsch argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Julian Chabot on 42 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
  • 45' Michael Olise makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 48' Chris Fuhrich was booked on 48.
  • 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josha Vagnoman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Konrad Laimer.
  • 62' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Kingsley Coman on, Leroy Sane off on 62 minutes.
  • 64' A goal from the Germany international Leon Goretzka! He fires home on 64 to make it 1-2!
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Leon Goretzka argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Ramon Hendriks on, Julian Chabot off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Maximilian Mittelstadt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 35 Yellow cards this season.
  • 76' Josip Stanisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 76 minute.
  • 81' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Chris Fuhrich is replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen on 81 minute.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kingsley Coman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Muller. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Harry Kane on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Harry Kane 10
Robert Lewandowski 8
Serge Gnabry 6
Leon Goretzka 3
Kingsley Coman 3
Chris Fuhrich 2
Thomas Muller 2
Konstantinos Mavropanos 1

Head to Head

2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 FC Bayern München 2024-10-19 FC Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern München 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart 2023-03-04 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 FC Bayern München

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 FC Bayern München L 2025-02-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB Stuttgart D 2025-02-15 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-02-08 Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-02-04 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 FC Augsburg W 2025-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Monchengladbach L

FC Bayern München Form

2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-02-23 FC Bayern München 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-02-18 FC Bayern München 1–1 Celtic FC D 2025-02-15 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 FC Bayern München D 2025-02-12 Celtic FC 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2025-02-07 FC Bayern München 3–0 SV Werder Bremen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart20% Draw21% FC Bayern München59%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
40%
Draw or FC Bayern München
80%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart15% Draw35% FC Bayern München50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
5%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 34% — 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% — 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.