Thursday , 1 October 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
05 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–2 W
02 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
29 Jan AC Sparta Praha H 2–0 W
25 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
12 Feb Celtic FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 3–0 W
01 Feb Holstein Kiel H 4–3 W
29 Jan SK Slovan Bratislava H 3–1 W
25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
#5 Position #2
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
5 Conceded 2
+5 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Bayer 04 Leverkusen kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leroy Sane is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 10' Harry Kane is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
  • 11' A moment of madness from Piero Hincapie on 11 minutes earns him a card. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be frustrated.
  • 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern Munchen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Exequiel Palacios made 189 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Hiroki Ito was booked on 39.
  • 44' Germany international Manuel Neuer has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 49' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Serge Gnabry is replacing Michael Olise for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 73' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 74' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Dayot Upamecano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Min-Jae Kim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 85' Nathan Tella makes way for Amine Adli at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 86' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Jamal Musiala departs to be replaced by Sacha Boey.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Edmond Tapsoba. He receives a card.
  • 90' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Alejandro Grimaldo has done his job and it is now time for Patrik Schick to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen31% Draw28% FC Bayern München41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Bayern München
69%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen19% Draw48% FC Bayern München33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.