Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
05 Feb 1. FC Koln H 3–2 W
02 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
29 Jan AC Sparta Praha H 2–0 W
25 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
12 Feb Celtic FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 3–0 W
01 Feb Holstein Kiel H 4–3 W
29 Jan SK Slovan Bratislava H 3–1 W
25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
#6 Position #1
59 Points 89
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
68 Scored 122
47 Conceded 36
+21 GD +86
1.74 PPG 2.62
50% Win % 82%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Hiroki Ito has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 11' The referee has no hesitation. Piero Hincapie is booked for Bayer 04 Leverkusen — card on 11.
  • 16' Manuel Neuer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Xabi Alonso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' Hiroki Ito catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 49' Exequiel Palacios, a Argentina , has 30 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 53' Aleksandar Pavlovic is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 63' A quiet spell here at BayArena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 68' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Michael Olise is withdrawn and Serge Gnabry gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 751 goals from 541 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 74' Dayot Upamecano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 85' Amine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathan Tella on 85 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Sacha Boey. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 86 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Edmond Tapsoba on 90 minutes earns him a card. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be frustrated.
  • 90' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Alejandro Grimaldo trudges off to be replaced by Patrik Schick on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen34% Draw25% FC Bayern München41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Bayern München
66%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen23% Draw42% FC Bayern München35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 20% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.