VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Thorsten Schiffner
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Referee Benedikt Kempkes
- Referee Johann Pfeifer
- Referee Florian Exner
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | 1. FC Koln | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | SC Freiburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Jan | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Feb | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 62 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 71 | Scored | 122 |
| 49 | Conceded | 36 |
| +22 | GD | +86 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 53% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern München get us underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Chris Fuhrich has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Germany international Jamal Musiala has been a key figure this campaign — 9 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 39' Assisted by Jamal Musiala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matthijs de Ligt makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan Gravenberch made 480 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Gil Dias is withdrawn and Tanguy Coulibaly gets his opportunity.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' Magnificent from Maxim Choupo-Moting! That is 68 goals in 520 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Serge Gnabry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kingsley Coman at the 63 minute mark.
- 64' The whistle greets Kingsley Coman as he departs to be replaced by Serge Gnabry.
- 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 74' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Chris Fuhrich departs to be replaced by Tiago Tomas.
- 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 82' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 82 minute. Leon Goretzka leaves to be changed by Ryan Gravenberch.
- 85' Enzo Millot gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Atakan Karazor and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Juan Perea does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Enzo Millot 85'
- 5
-
31
Gil Dias ↓ Tanguy Coulibaly 46'
- 23
- 2
- 17
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Tiago Tomas 74'
- 33
- 3
- 21
- 14
Bench
- 4
- 1
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 85'
- 20
-
7
Tanguy Coulibaly ↑ 46'
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↑ 74'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↑ 85'
-
11
Juan Perea ↑ 74'
- 39
Coach
Bruno Labbadia
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 13
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Serge Gnabry 63'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Benjamin Pavard 82'
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Leroy Sane 63'
- 44
Bench
-
17
Sadio Mane ↑ 63'
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 63'
- 23
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 82'
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 63'
- 26
-
5
Benjamin Pavard ↑ 82'
- 22
- 39
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 10 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 8 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Kingsley Coman | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Thomas Muller | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
FC Bayern München Form
2023-03-04
VfB Stuttgart
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2023-02-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-02-18
Borussia Monchengladbach
3–2
FC Bayern München
L
2023-02-14
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2023-02-11
FC Bayern München
3–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2023-02-05
VfL Wolfsburg
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.69
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.2%
1 – 1
7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.5%
0 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 10% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 20% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.