Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 17:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Thorsten Schiffner
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Referee Benedikt Kempkes
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Florian Exner

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
25 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L
18 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
11 Feb SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
05 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
31 Jan SC Paderborn 07 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
26 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–3 L
14 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–0 W
05 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 4–2 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart FC Bayern München
#15 Position #2
3 Points 10
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
6 Scored 14
9 Conceded 2
-3 GD +12
0.75 PPG 2.50
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Mercedes-Benz Arena will turn into a battlefield for VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' FC Bayern München have won 1065 goals from 542 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Croatia international Josip Stanisic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Atakan Karazor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' What a moment for Matthijs de Ligt! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 44' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tanguy Coulibaly is hanging Gil Dias on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Nagelsmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Dayot Upamecano scoring 1 goals.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 62' Maxim Choupo-Moting adds to his 2 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Serge Gnabry. He replaces Kingsley Coman on 63 minute.
  • 64' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Kingsley Coman trudges off to be replaced by Serge Gnabry on 64 minutes.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 74' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tiago Tomas is hanging Chris Fuhrich on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 82 minute. Leon Goretzka leaves to be changed by Ryan Gravenberch.
  • 85' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Atakan Karazor is replaced by Enzo Millot.
  • 88' GOAL! Juan Perea scores on 88. Assisted by Tiago Tomas
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.89 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.14 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + FC Bayern München to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart14% Draw17% FC Bayern München69%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
31%
Draw or FC Bayern München
86%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart8% Draw31% FC Bayern München61%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
9.2%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
7.1%
1 – 4
6.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.7%
0 – 5
4.4%
1 – 5
4%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% — 93%
+0.5 20% — 80%
+1 20% 18% 62%
+1.5 38% — 62%
+2 38% 20% 41%
+2.5 59% — 41%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.