VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thorsten Schiffner
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Referee Benedikt Kempkes
- Referee Johann Pfeifer
- Referee Florian Exner
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | 1. FC Köln | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | SC Freiburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Jan | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Feb | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #1 |
| 12 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 15 | Scored | 29 |
| 15 | Conceded | 9 |
| +0 | GD | +20 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! VfB Stuttgart welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maxim Choupo-Moting suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' It’s high time Julian Nagelsmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' FC Bayern Munchen looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Dayot Upamecano scoring 1 goals.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' Brilliant from the ! Matthijs de Ligt makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 39.
- 44' FC Bayern Munchen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 46' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Tanguy Coulibaly on, Gil Dias off on 46 minutes.
- 51' With 1 assists to his name this season, Waldemar Anton is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 56' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern Munchen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' A goal from the Cameroon international Maxim Choupo-Moting! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
- 63' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Kingsley Coman by Serge Gnabry on 63 minute.
- 64' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Kingsley Coman exits the field as Serge Gnabry enters on 64.
- 69' VfB Stuttgart currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 74' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Chris Fuhrich trudges off to be replaced by Tiago Tomas on 74 minutes.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Leon Goretzka departs to be replaced by Ryan Gravenberch.
- 85' Atakan Karazor makes way for Enzo Millot at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 88' Juan Perea adds to his 0 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Enzo Millot 85'
- 5
-
31
Gil Dias ↓ Tanguy Coulibaly 46'
- 23
- 2
- 17
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Tiago Tomas 74'
- 33
- 3
- 21
- 14
Bench
- 4
- 1
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 85'
- 20
-
7
Tanguy Coulibaly ↑ 46'
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↑ 74'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↑ 85'
-
11
Juan Perea ↑ 74'
- 39
Coach
Bruno Labbadia
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 13
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Serge Gnabry 63'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Benjamin Pavard 82'
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Leroy Sane 63'
- 44
Bench
-
17
Sadio Mane ↑ 63'
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 63'
- 23
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 82'
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 63'
- 26
-
5
Benjamin Pavard ↑ 82'
- 22
- 39
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 10 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 8 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Kingsley Coman | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Thomas Muller | 2 |
| Michael Olise | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
FC Bayern München Form
2023-03-04
VfB Stuttgart
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2023-02-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-02-18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–2
FC Bayern München
L
2023-02-14
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2023-02-11
FC Bayern München
3–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2023-02-05
VfL Wolfsburg
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.63
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
40%
Draw or FC Bayern München
81%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
6.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 20% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.