VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
19 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | 1. FC Koln | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 62 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 71 | Scored | 122 |
| 49 | Conceded | 36 |
| +22 | GD | +86 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 53% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' VfB Stuttgart have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Alphonso Davies has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' It’s high time Thomas Tuchel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 17' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Raphael Guerreiro has done his job and it is now time for Leon Goretzka to step up.
- 20' Eric Dier is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Waldemar Anton on 24 minutes.
- 29' Leonidas Stergiou does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
- 34' The 32-year-old Eric Dier has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 37' Harry Kane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' Anthony Rouault needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 46' Dayot Upamecano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eric Dier on 46 minute.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Serge Gnabry is replaced by Bryan Zaragoza.
- 69' Leon Goretzka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
- 72' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Leroy Sane comes on to replace Mathys Tel.
- 77' Atakan Karazor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 78' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 79' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Jamie Leweling is withdrawn and Silas Katompa Mvumpa gets his opportunity.
- 83' Jeong Wooyeong puts VfB Stuttgart on the lead.
- 88' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Thomas Tuchel. He receives a card.
- 90' The crowd applauds Deniz Undav as he leaves the pitch. Luca Raimund steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
- VfB Stuttgart celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 33
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jeong Wooyeong 72'
- 9
- 21
- 20
- 18
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Luca Raimund 90'
- 29
- 6
Bench
-
5
Mahmoud Dahoud ↑ 72'
- 17
- 15
- 1
-
10
Jeong Wooyeong ↑ 72'
-
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↑ 79'
-
40
Luca Raimund ↑ 90'
- 43
- 45
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
15
Eric Dier ↓ Dayot Upamecano 46'
- 9
- 13
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Bryan Zaragoza 64'
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 19
-
39
Mathys Tel ↓ Leroy Sane 72'
- 3
- 45
Bench
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 72'
-
40
Noussair Mazraoui ↑ 64'
- 26
- 25
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 17'
-
2
Dayot Upamecano ↑ 46'
- 27
-
17
Bryan Zaragoza ↑ 64'
- 34
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 10 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 8 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Kingsley Coman | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Thomas Muller | 2 |
| Jeong Wooyeong | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-04-27
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–2
VfB Stuttgart
D
2024-04-21
SV Werder Bremen
2–1
VfB Stuttgart
L
2024-04-13
VfB Stuttgart
3–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-06
Borussia Dortmund
0–1
VfB Stuttgart
W
2024-03-31
VfB Stuttgart
3–3
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.53
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Bayern München
64%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 4
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.