Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Leonidas Stergiou 29' 1–0
1–1 37' Harry Kane pen
Jeong Wooyeong 83' 2–1
Silas Katompa Mvumpa 90+3' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
27 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
21 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
13 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
06 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
31 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
17 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr 1. FC Köln H 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart FC Bayern München
#10 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Bayern München gets underway.
  • 5' Sehrou Guirassy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern München so far.
  • 10' FC Bayern München come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandar Pavlovic made 540 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Raphael Guerreiro by Leon Goretzka on 17 minute.
  • 20' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 20.
  • 24' It’s gonna be a card for Waldemar Anton.
  • 29' Assisted by Deniz Undav with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leonidas Stergiou makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 34' Eric Dier is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
  • 37' Harry Kane makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 42' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Eric Dier trudges off to be replaced by Dayot Upamecano on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 64' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Bryan Zaragoza on, Serge Gnabry off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' Leroy Sane gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Mathys Tel and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Aleksandar Pavlovic on 78 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • 79' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Jamie Leweling by Silas Katompa Mvumpa on 79 minute.
  • 83' What a moment for Jeong Wooyeong! That strike on 83 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bryan Zaragoza is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 90' Thomas Tuchel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Deniz Undav is replaced by Luca Raimund on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart41% Draw30% FC Bayern München29%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Bayern München
59%
VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw53% FC Bayern München21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
38%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.