Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 12:00 UTC Donaustadion 17,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Keller 34' 1–0
1–1 49' Davie Selke

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt
  • Assistant 1 Martin Speckner
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Jolk
12 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSV Ulm 1846 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L
01 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–1 D
23 Nov Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
09 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–0 D
01 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
08 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–3 L
03 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SSV Ulm 1846 to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philipp Maier, as he is very good at scoring at Donaustadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Bakery Jatta.
  • 14' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Adam Karabec has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' SSV Ulm 1846 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' It looks like no one’s ball. SSV Ulm 1846 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' SSV Ulm 1846 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aaron Keller on 34.
  • 39' SSV Ulm 1846 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' Semir Telalovic was booked on 41.
  • 42' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Marco Richter gets a card.
  • 46' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Marco Richter departs to be replaced by Immanuel Pherai.
  • 49' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 49. Assisted by Miro Muheim
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marco Richter made 433 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Immanuel Pherai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SSV Ulm 1846 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' Lucas Perrin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dennis Hadzikadunic on 65 minute.
  • 68' Daniel Elfadli was booked on 68.
  • 72' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Adam Karabec departs to be replaced by Lukasz Poreba.
  • 77' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' The whistle greets Dennis Chessa as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandar Kahvic.
  • 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ransford Konigsdorffer is hanging Davie Selke on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' SSV Ulm 1846 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Castelle is hanging Aaron Keller on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ransford Konigsdorffer on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184639% Draw30% Hamburger SV31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
69%
Draw or Hamburger SV
61%
SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184626% Draw51% Hamburger SV23%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
33%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.