Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 12:00 UTC Donaustadion 17,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Keller 34' 1–0
1–1 49' Davie Selke

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt
  • Assistant 1 Martin Speckner
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Jolk

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSV Ulm 1846 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L
01 Dec SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–1 D
23 Nov Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
09 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–0 D
01 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
08 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–3 L
03 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SSV Ulm 1846 to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 9' A moment of madness from Bakery Jatta on 9 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
  • 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 19' Max Brandt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 21' Dennis Chessa is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Merlin Polzin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 34' Aaron Keller has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' Semir Telalovic was booked on 41.
  • 42' Daniel Elfadli is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 45' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 45.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Immanuel Pherai comes on to replace Marco Richter.
  • 49' A stunning finish from Davie Selke — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SSV Ulm 1846 and Hamburger SV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' Daniel Elfadli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 65' Lucas Perrin is replacing Dennis Hadzikadunic for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Elfadli on 68.
  • 72' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Adam Karabec is withdrawn and Lukasz Poreba gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Dennis Chessa as he leaves the pitch. Aleksandar Kahvic steps in for SSV Ulm 1846.
  • 85' Emir Sahiti needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 86' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 86 minute. Davie Selke leaves to be changed by Ransford Konigsdorffer.
  • 89' The whistle greets Aaron Keller as he departs to be replaced by Niklas Castelle.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ransford Konigsdorffer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184639% Draw30% Hamburger SV31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
69%
Draw or Hamburger SV
61%
SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184626% Draw51% Hamburger SV23%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
33%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.