Saturday , 14 November 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 12:00 UTC Donaustadion 17,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Keller 34' 1–0
1–1 49' Davie Selke

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt
  • Assistant 1 Martin Speckner
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Jolk

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSV Ulm 1846 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L
01 Dec SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–1 D
23 Nov Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
09 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–0 D
01 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
08 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–3 L
03 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SSV Ulm 1846 host Hamburger SV — let the battle begin!
  • 5' SSV Ulm 1846 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 4-1-4-1 shape.
  • 9' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Bakery Jatta gets a card.
  • 14' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
  • 21' SSV Ulm 1846 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' GOAL! Aaron Keller fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 41' Semir Telalovic was booked on 41.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Daniel Elfadli on 42 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
  • 45' Marco Richter picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Marco Richter is replaced by Immanuel Pherai on 46 minute.
  • 49' Davie Selke is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SSV Ulm 1846 and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 65' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Dennis Hadzikadunic departs to be replaced by Lucas Perrin.
  • 68' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Lukasz Poreba comes on to replace Adam Karabec.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Aleksandar Kahvic. He replaces Dennis Chessa on 80 minute.
  • 85' The 35-year-old Johannes Reichert has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 86' Ransford Konigsdorffer is replacing Davie Selke for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 89' Another substitution for SSV Ulm 1846 to replace Aaron Keller by Niklas Castelle on 89 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ransford Konigsdorffer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184639% Draw30% Hamburger SV31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
69%
Draw or Hamburger SV
61%
SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184626% Draw51% Hamburger SV23%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.