Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz, Europe 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2022-23
Thu 3 Nov 2022 · 17:45 UTC MCH Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm GrazEurope at MCH Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Asmir Sagrkovic
  • Referee Matej Jug
  • Referee Matej Zunic
  • Referee
  • Referee Manuel Vidali
  • Referee Alen Borosak (Slovenia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 2–0 W
27 Oct SS Lazio A 1–2 L
13 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–2 D
06 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–2 D
15 Sep SS Lazio H 5–1 W
08 Sep SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 0–2 L
27 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
13 Oct SS Lazio A 2–2 D
06 Oct SS Lazio H 0–0 D
15 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–6 L
08 Sep FC Midtjylland H 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Midtjylland SK Sturm Graz
#3 Position #26
19 Points 7
8 Played 8
6 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 5
18 Scored 5
8 Conceded 11
+10 GD -6
2.38 PPG 0.88
75% Win % 25%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Midtjylland this season
25% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

FC Midtjylland are 3rd (19 pts). SK Sturm Graz are 26th (7 pts).

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Midtjylland
Martin Erlic 4 G 1 A
Franculino Dju 3 G
SK Sturm Graz
Otar Kiteishvili 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.44 FC Midtjylland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: FC Midtjylland to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland64% Draw21% SK Sturm Graz15%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw
84%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
36%
FC Midtjylland or SK Sturm Graz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Midtjylland52% Draw38% SK Sturm Graz10%
Actual: FC Midtjylland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap FC Midtjylland covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 22% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet
43%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.