Sunday , 16 August 2026

PSV vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

4 1
Full Time
Tue 8 Aug 2023 · 18:30 UTC Philips Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League Q at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Radu Petrescu
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 4–1 W
28 May AZ A 2–1 W
21 May SC Heerenveen H 3–3 D
14 May Fortuna Sittard H 2–1 W
06 May Sparta Rotterdam A 1–0 W
23 Apr AFC Ajax H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug PSV A 1–4 L
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 0–2 L
27 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
13 Oct SS Lazio A 2–2 D
06 Oct SS Lazio H 0–0 D
15 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–6 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
2/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: PSV gets underway.
  • 4' Brilliant from the ! Isaac Babadi makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 4.
  • 9' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 22' What a moment for Luuk de Jong! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' The deadlock is broken! Luuk de Jong gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' GOAL! Jon Stankovic scores on 40. Assisted by William Boving
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' The whistle greets David Schnegg as he departs to be replaced by Amadou Dante.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' SK Sturm Graz have won 38 goals from 141 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' A change in the SK Sturm Graz ranks — Szymon Wlodarczyk exits the field as Bryan Silva Teixeira enters on 61.
  • 65' PSV ring the changes. Isaac Babadi has done his job and it is now time for Ismael Saibari to step up.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Otar Kiteishvili made 141 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 73' What a moment for Ibrahim Sangare! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 78' SK Sturm Graz manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mohammed Fuseini is hanging William Boving on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • It finishes all square. PSV and SK Sturm Graz share the spoils 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV65% Draw20% SK Sturm Graz15%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
85%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
35%
PSV or SK Sturm Graz
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV46% Draw40% SK Sturm Graz14%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
36%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.