PSV vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs SK Sturm Graz — Champions League Q at Philips Stadion.
- PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Radu Petrescu
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 May | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Midtjylland | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | SS Lazio | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–6 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Philips Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' What a strike from Isaac Babadi! The score is 1-0.
- 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 14' Jon Stankovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 22' GOAL! Luuk de Jong scores on 22. Assisted by Johan Bakayoko
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 32' Luuk de Jong with the second goal in the match!
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' What a strike from Jon Stankovic! The score is 3-1.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Amadou Dante. He replaces David Schnegg on 46 minute.
- 51' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' Bryan Silva Teixeira is replacing Szymon Wlodarczyk for the SK Sturm Graz side.
- 65' The PSV manager makes a substitution. Isaac Babadi departs to be replaced by Ismael Saibari.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 141 games and scored 37 goals.
- 73' GOAL! Ibrahim Sangare scores on 73. Assisted by Joey Veerman
- 78' SK Sturm Graz manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mohammed Fuseini is hanging William Boving on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' Amadou Dante needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- Another three points for PSV.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 30
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 11
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↓ Ismael Saibari 65'
Bench
- 20
- 21
- 16
- 29
- 24
- 14
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 65'
- 2
- 32
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 10
-
28
David Schnegg ↓ Amadou Dante 46'
- 9
- 22
- 42
- 8
- 4
- 15
Bench
- 13
-
17
Bryan Silva Teixeira ↑ 61'
- 19
- 23
- 6
- 35
-
44
Amadou Dante ↑ 46'
- 14
- 31
- 40
-
29
Mohammed Fuseini ↑ 78'
- 2
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Isaac Babadi | 1 |
| William Boving | 1 |
| Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | 1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 1 |
| Joey Veerman | 1 |
| Philipp Max | 1 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for:
PSV to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
85%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
35%
PSV or SK Sturm Graz
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | SK Sturm Graz covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.