SK Sturm Graz vs PSV, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs PSV — Champions League Q at Merkur Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
- PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Srdan Jovanovic
3 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 3.0 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | PSV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Midtjylland | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Oct | SS Lazio | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | A | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | FC Utrecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | SC Heerenveen | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Merkur Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' SK Sturm Graz is showing some good football. However, SK Sturm Graz are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' PSV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SK Sturm Graz needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 26' GOAL! William Boving scores on 26. Assisted by Alexander Prass
- 31' Luuk de Jong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 32' Goal! Joey Veerman scores his 38 goal in 369 matches.
- 37' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 39' GOAL! Luuk de Jong scores on 39. Assisted by Jordan Teze
- 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
- 46' The whistle greets Luuk de Jong as he departs to be replaced by Ricardo Pepi.
- 51' Ismael Saibari needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' The whistle greets Bryan Silva Teixeira as he departs to be replaced by Szymon Wlodarczyk.
- 60' The PSV manager makes a substitution. Johan Bakayoko departs to be replaced by Guus Til.
- 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 436 games and scored 819 goals.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Stefan Hierlander.
- 71' The SK Sturm Graz manager makes a substitution. Jusuf Gazibegovic departs to be replaced by Max Johnston.
- 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 80' It is a substitution in SK Sturm Graz team. Alexander Prass is replaced by Jakob Jantscher on 80 minute.
- 85' Goal! Ricardo Pepi scores his 57 goal in 281 matches.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Gregory Wuthrich.
- 90' The referee shows SK Sturm Graz player a card on 90.
- Another three points for PSV.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 25
- 10
- 17
- 44
- 22
- 42
- 8
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
13
Jakob Jantscher ↑ 80'
- 19
- 28
- 35
-
9
Szymon Wlodarczyk ↑ 59'
- 14
- 31
- 40
- 21
- 29
-
2
Max Johnston ↑ 71'
- 33
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 46'
- 3
- 30
- 6
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 34
- 32
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Guus Til 60'
Bench
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 60'
- 21
- 7
- 16
- 29
- 24
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 46'
- 2
- 37
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Ibrahim Sangare | 2 |
| Joey Veerman | 1 |
| Philipp Max | 1 |
| Eran Zahavi | 1 |
| Yorbe Vertessen | 1 |
| Bruma | 1 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 1 |
Head to Head
SK Sturm Graz Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
49%
Draw or PSV
76%
SK Sturm Graz or PSV
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.