Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs PSV, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

1 – 3
Full Time
Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 18:30 UTC Merkur Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs PSV — Champions League Q at Merkur Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Srdan Jovanovic

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
08 Aug PSV A 1–4 L
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 0–2 L
27 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–0 W
13 Oct SS Lazio A 2–2 D
06 Oct SS Lazio H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 3–1 W
12 Aug FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
08 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 4–1 W
28 May AZ A 2–1 W
21 May SC Heerenveen H 3–3 D
14 May Fortuna Sittard H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Merkur Arena that hosts another battle between SK Sturm Graz and PSV.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, William Boving is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SK Sturm Graz and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' SK Sturm Graz is taking the lead after the goal scored by William Boving on 26.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' What a strike from Joey Veerman! The score is 1-1.
  • 37' SK Sturm Graz currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Luuk de Jong doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Another change for PSV made on 46 minute. Luuk de Jong leaves to be changed by Ricardo Pepi.
  • 51' The 26-year-old Kjell Scherpen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' Ismael Saibari has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' The SK Sturm Graz manager makes a substitution. Bryan Silva Teixeira departs to be replaced by Szymon Wlodarczyk.
  • 60' PSV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guus Til is hanging Johan Bakayoko on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 70' It’s a booking for SK Sturm Graz player. Stefan Hierlander gets a card.
  • 71' SK Sturm Graz make a change. Jusuf Gazibegovic trudges off to be replaced by Max Johnston on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Slovenia international Jon Stankovic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Jakob Jantscher. He replaces Alexander Prass on 80 minute.
  • 85' GOAL! Ricardo Pepi fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gregory Wuthrich on 85.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Javier Serrano.
  • Full Time. PSV beats SK Sturm Graz

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 PSV xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz24% Draw25% PSV51%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
49%
Draw or PSV
76%
SK Sturm Graz or PSV
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz19% Draw44% PSV37%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.