SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #16 |
| 41 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 30 | Scored | 20 |
| 13 | Conceded | 23 |
| +17 | GD | -3 |
| 2.28 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 67% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Allianz Parque!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Weverton, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Gustavo Gomez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 16' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Murilo Cerqueira gets a card.
- 21' Brazil international Joao Pedro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jemerson on 26.
- 28' It’s gonna be a card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 32' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' Reinaldo, a Brazil , has 49 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 42' SE Palmeiras currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' Martin Braithwaite has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 57' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 63' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Felipe Anderson exits the field as Dudu enters on 63.
- 64' The whistle greets Yeferson Soteldo as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Ribeiro.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' Against the run of play, Estevao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 74' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Estevao gets a card.
- 75' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Costa is hanging Martin Braithwaite on the field on 75 minute.
- 76' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Franco Cristaldo on, Alexander Aravena off on 76 minutes.
- 77' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Mauricio is replaced by Richard Rios.
- 82' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Raphael Veiga by Ze Rafael on 82 minute.
- 86' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Richard Rios gets a card.
- 88' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Miguel Monsalve was booked on 90.
- Another three points for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Rony ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 63'
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ze Rafael 82'
- 21
- 2
- 15
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Mayke 63'
-
9
Felipe Anderson ↓ Dudu 63'
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Richard Rios 77'
- 26
- 41
Bench
-
8
Ze Rafael ↑ 82'
-
12
Mayke ↑ 63'
-
7
Dudu ↑ 63'
- 14
- 25
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 63'
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 77'
- 44
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Dodi ↓ Miguel Monsalve 76'
- 6
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 18
-
15
Edenilson ↓ Joao Pedro Pepe 64'
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 30
- 2
-
19
Diego Costa ↑ 75'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 76'
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 64'
- 26
- 9
- 37
- 33
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 64'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 76'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
39%
SE Palmeiras or Grêmio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

