Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Parque 43,201 HT 45' · FT 45'
Raphael Veiga pen 29' 1–0
1–1 38' Hercules
Estevao pen 57' 2–1
2–2 62' Moises
Mayke 18' Y
Y 24' Eros Mancuso
Y 72' Titi
Y 75' Juan Lucero

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D
20 Oct EC Juventude A 5–3 W
05 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
22 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
15 Sep Criciúma EC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SE Palmeiras A 2–2 D
17 Oct CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
05 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
29 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Ze Rafael has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 59 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mayke on 18 minutes.
  • 23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Eros Mancuso is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 24.
  • 29' Raphael Veiga puts SE Palmeiras on the lead.
  • 34' Benjamin Kuscevic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 11 appearances.
  • 38' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hercules makes it 1-1.
  • 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 48' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 57' What a strike from Estevao! The score is 2-1.
  • 62' What a moment for Moises! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
  • 68' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Ze Rafael is replaced by Mauricio.
  • 71' Dudu is replacing Felipe Anderson for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Titi on 72 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 73' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Leandro Martinez departs to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 75' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Juan Lucero will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 81' Jose Welison is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Rossetto at the 81 minute mark.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Pedro Augusto on, Hercules off on 83 minutes.
  • 87' Fabinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richard Rios on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tomas Pochettino on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras50% Draw25% Fortaleza EC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras36% Draw43% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.