SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's 3-1-4-2 shape.
- 18' Mayke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 18.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Welison suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Controversy at the stadium! Eros Mancuso argues furiously but the card stands.
- 29' Raphael Veiga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 34' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 38' GOAL! Hercules scores on 38.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caio Paulista is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
- 57' Against the run of play, Estevao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' What a moment for Moises! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
- 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 68' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Ze Rafael departs to be replaced by Mauricio.
- 71' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Felipe Anderson is replaced by Dudu.
- 72' Titi was booked on 72.
- 73' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Tomas Pochettino comes on to replace Leandro Martinez.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Lucero is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 75.
- 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 386 games and scored 576 goals.
- 81' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Jose Welison comes on to replace Matheus Rossetto.
- 83' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Augusto to step up.
- 87' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Fabinho comes on to replace Richard Rios.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomas Pochettino on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Rony 87'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Agustin Giay 68'
- 15
- 16
-
9
Felipe Anderson ↓ Dudu 71'
- 42
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 87'
- 41
- 44
Bench
-
10
Rony ↑ 87'
-
7
Dudu ↑ 71'
- 14
-
18
Mauricio ↑ 68'
- 1
- 6
- 33
- 34
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 87'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 68'
- 20
- 40
Fortaleza EC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 22
-
16
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Jose Welison 81'
- 19
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Renato Kayzer 81'
- 4
- 21
- 33
-
35
Hercules ↓ Pedro Augusto 83'
- 8
Bench
- 36
- 30
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 73'
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 81'
- 39
-
10
Calebe ↑ 73'
-
17
Jose Welison ↑ 81'
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 83'
- 14
- 37
- 77
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 3 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Endrick | 2 |
| Andreas Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

