Thursday , 2 July 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Parque 43,201 HT 45' · FT 45'
Raphael Veiga pen 29' 1–0
1–1 38' Hercules
Estevao pen 57' 2–1
2–2 62' Moises
Mayke 18' Y
Y 24' Eros Mancuso
Y 72' Titi
Y 75' Juan Lucero

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D
20 Oct EC Juventude A 5–3 W
05 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
22 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
15 Sep Criciúma EC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SE Palmeiras A 2–2 D
17 Oct CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
05 Oct Grêmio FBPA A 1–3 L
29 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's 3-1-4-2 shape.
  • 18' Mayke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 18.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Welison suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Controversy at the stadium! Eros Mancuso argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 29' Raphael Veiga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 34' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' GOAL! Hercules scores on 38.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caio Paulista is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Estevao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 62' What a moment for Moises! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Ze Rafael departs to be replaced by Mauricio.
  • 71' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Felipe Anderson is replaced by Dudu.
  • 72' Titi was booked on 72.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Tomas Pochettino comes on to replace Leandro Martinez.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Lucero is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 75.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 386 games and scored 576 goals.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Jose Welison comes on to replace Matheus Rossetto.
  • 83' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Augusto to step up.
  • 87' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Fabinho comes on to replace Richard Rios.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomas Pochettino on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras50% Draw25% Fortaleza EC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras36% Draw43% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
29%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.