Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Juventude vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 23:00 UTC Alfredo Jaconi 10,102 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Estevao
Danilo Boza 35' 1–1
1–2 44' Raphael Veiga
Ronaldo 49' 2–2
2–3 50' Raphael Veiga
2–4 63' Richard Rios
Edson Carioca 67' 3–4
3–5 90' Raphael Veiga
Y 30' Marcos Rocha
Y 73' Richard Rios
Y 74' Mayke
Jadson 79' Y
Jean Carlos 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–5 L
06 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
29 Sep RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
21 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
15 Sep Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Cuiaba EC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct EC Juventude A 5–3 W
05 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
22 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
15 Sep Criciúma EC H 5–0 W
01 Sep CA Paranaense A 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Juventude welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Alfredo Jaconi.
  • 5' Vanderlan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' EC Juventude are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Juventude that had 152 games and scored 161 goals.
  • 20' EC Juventude are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 22' Brilliant from the ! Estevao makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 22.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Marcos Rocha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
  • 35' Danilo Boza is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' What a strike from Raphael Veiga! The score is 1-2.
  • 46' Ewerthon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Barbosa on 46 minute.
  • 49' Ronaldo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 50' Sensational shot from Raphael Veiga. SE Palmeiras is back in the lead.
  • 52' Anibal Moreno was booked on 52.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Juventude and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' GOAL! Richard Rios scores on 63.
  • 65' Ze Rafael is replacing Anibal Moreno for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edson Carioca makes it 3-4.
  • 72' That looks like a foul for a card for Gustavo Gomez.
  • 73' Richard Rios has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 73.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Mayke on 74 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 74' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Fabinho comes on to replace Richard Rios.
  • 75' The EC Juventude bench stirs into life. Luiz Mandaca is withdrawn and Jean Carlos gets his opportunity.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Jadson on 79 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 82' The EC Juventude bench stirs into life. Jadson is withdrawn and Marcelinho gets his opportunity.
  • 87' SE Palmeiras make a change. Estevao trudges off to be replaced by Vanderlan on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Raphael Veiga adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 3-5 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Jean Carlos.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 EC Juventude xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Juventude27% Draw25% SE Palmeiras48%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw
52%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
EC Juventude or SE Palmeiras
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Juventude22% Draw42% SE Palmeiras36%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap EC Juventude covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.