Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Juventude vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 23:00 UTC Alfredo Jaconi 10,102 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Estevao
Danilo Boza 35' 1–1
1–2 44' Raphael Veiga
Ronaldo 49' 2–2
2–3 50' Raphael Veiga
2–4 63' Richard Rios
Edson Carioca 67' 3–4
3–5 90' Raphael Veiga
Y 30' Marcos Rocha
Y 73' Richard Rios
Y 74' Mayke
Jadson 79' Y
Jean Carlos 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–5 L
06 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
29 Sep RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
21 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
15 Sep Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Cuiabá EC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct EC Juventude A 5–3 W
05 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
22 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
15 Sep Criciúma EC H 5–0 W
01 Sep CA Paranaense A 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Alfredo Jaconi!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Richard Rios made 402 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Danilo Boza has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 389 appearances.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luiz Mandaca suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' Estevao adds to his 1 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Alfredo Jaconi. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Marcos Rocha will be fuming at that decision.
  • 35' What composure from Danilo Boza! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' Raphael Veiga does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
  • 46' Lucas Barbosa makes way for Ewerthon at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Juventude.
  • 49' Ronaldo does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Juventude surge ahead!
  • 50' GOAL! Raphael Veiga fires home to make it 2-3!
  • 52' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Anibal Moreno gets a card.
  • 57' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 63' GOAL! Richard Rios fires home to make it 2-4!
  • 65' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Anibal Moreno is withdrawn and Ze Rafael gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Magnificent from Edson Carioca! That is 9 goals in 148 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 72' Gustavo Gomez is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 73' Richard Rios catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 74' Mayke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 74' Richard Rios makes way for Fabinho at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 75' Jean Carlos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luiz Mandaca on 75 minute.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jadson on 79.
  • 82' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Marcelinho comes on to replace Jadson.
  • 87' Estevao makes way for Vanderlan at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 90' What a moment for Raphael Veiga! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 EC Juventude xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Juventude27% Draw25% SE Palmeiras48%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw
52%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
EC Juventude or SE Palmeiras
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Juventude22% Draw42% SE Palmeiras36%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap EC Juventude covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.