Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Elias Saad
0–2 45' Oladapo Afolayan
0–3 72' Elias Saad

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
1
SC Freiburg 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–3 L
21 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W
14 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W
01 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
24 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
17 Aug VfL Osnabruck A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
25 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
16 Aug Hallescher FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg FC St. Pauli 1910
#7 Position #18
47 Points 26
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
51 Scored 29
57 Conceded 60
-6 GD -31
1.38 PPG 0.76
38% Win % 18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or FC St. Pauli 1910 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg41% Draw27% FC St. Pauli 191032%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
68%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
59%
SC Freiburg or FC St. Pauli 1910
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg30% Draw44% FC St. Pauli 191026%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
25%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.