FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hallescher FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Rot-Weiss Essen | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #9 |
| 26 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 29 | Scored | 0 |
| 60 | Conceded | 0 |
| -31 | GD | +0 |
| 0.76 | PPG | – |
| 18% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC St. Pauli 1910 welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at Millerntor-Stadion.
- 5' The 28-year-old David Raum has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Eric Smith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Willi Orban has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 24' Amadou Haidara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 24.
- 29' Philipp Treu was booked on 29.
- 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Christoph Baumgartner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 49' Nicolas Seiwald, a Austria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' The whistle greets Yussuf Poulsen as he departs to be replaced by Lois Openda.
- 62' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Christoph Baumgartner is replaced by Antonio Nusa on 62 minute.
- 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 69' Morgan Guilavogui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Johannes Eggestein at the 69 minute mark.
- 71' The referee has no hesitation. Elias Saad is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 71.
- 74' The whistle greets Benjamin Sesko as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
- 79' Supporters expect more eagerness from Elias Saad, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Henrichs is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 82.
- 82' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 82 minute. Carlo Boukhalfa leaves to be changed by Connor Metcalfe.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 89' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Scott Banks comes on to replace Oladapo Afolayan.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Scott Banks 89'
- 22
- 16
- 2
- 26
- 23
Bench
- 21
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 69'
- 15
-
24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 82'
- 1
- 19
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 89'
-
29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 69'
- 4
Coach
Alexander Blessin
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Lois Openda 61'
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 74'
- 8
- 10
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 74'
Bench
-
17
Lois Openda ↑ 61'
- 6
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 74'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 74'
- 26
- 23
- 5
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 62'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 61'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Xaver Schlager | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-09-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
RB Leipzig
D
2024-09-15
FC Augsburg
3–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-25
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
2024-08-16
Hallescher FC
2–3
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-05-19
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.3
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.38
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 96% + Under — clean sheet likely 89%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 0.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 1.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 2.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 3.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
| ± 4.5 | 0% |
|
100% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
75%
Draw or RB Leipzig
76%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
48%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
16.8%
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 0
1.8%
1 – 2
1.5%
2 – 1
1.1%
2 – 2
0.4%
0 – 3
0.4%
1 – 3
0.2%
3 – 0
0.2%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 14% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 18% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
69%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

