FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
4 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 30.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hallescher FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Rot-Weiss Essen | A | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion!
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' Yussuf Poulsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 24' Amadou Haidara catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 24.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Treu is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 29.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andre Silva, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 39' Eric Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 515 games and scored 727 goals.
- 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 59' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' Lois Openda gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Christoph Baumgartner is withdrawn and Antonio Nusa gets his opportunity.
- 67' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 69' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Johannes Eggestein trudges off to be replaced by Morgan Guilavogui on 69 minutes.
- 71' Poor challenge from Elias Saad. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Andre Silva. He replaces Benjamin Sesko on 74 minute.
- 79' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Henrichs. He receives a card.
- 82' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 82 minute. Carlo Boukhalfa leaves to be changed by Connor Metcalfe.
- 87' Elias Saad has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 89' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Oladapo Afolayan by Scott Banks on 89 minute.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Scott Banks 89'
- 22
- 16
- 2
- 26
- 23
Bench
- 21
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 69'
- 15
-
24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 82'
- 1
- 19
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 89'
-
29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 69'
- 4
Coach
Alexander Blessin
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Lois Openda 61'
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 74'
- 8
- 10
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 74'
Bench
-
17
Lois Openda ↑ 61'
- 6
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 74'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 74'
- 26
- 23
- 5
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 62'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 61'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Xaver Schlager | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-09-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
RB Leipzig
D
2024-09-15
FC Augsburg
3–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-25
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
2024-08-16
Hallescher FC
2–3
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-05-19
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 19% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.