Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 17:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,251 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 25.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
25 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
16 Aug Hallescher FC A 3–2 W
19 May SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
19 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L
14 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
31 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
24 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
17 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 4–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Millerntor-Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC St. Pauli 1910 and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' Amadou Haidara is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
  • 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Philipp Treu on 29 minutes.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' Philipp Treu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' Arthur Vermeeren needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' The whistle greets Yussuf Poulsen as he departs to be replaced by Lois Openda.
  • 62' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Christoph Baumgartner departs to be replaced by Antonio Nusa.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Johannes Eggestein is replaced by Morgan Guilavogui on 69 minute.
  • 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 74' Benjamin Sesko makes way for Andre Silva at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 79' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Benjamin Henrichs. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 82' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Carlo Boukhalfa trudges off to be replaced by Connor Metcalfe on 82 minutes.
  • 87' With 2 assists to his name this season, Oladapo Afolayan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Scott Banks. He replaces Oladapo Afolayan on 89 minute.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191033% Draw34% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191020% Draw59% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 19% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.