FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
18 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hallescher FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Rot-Weiss Essen | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 66 |
| 60 | Conceded | 47 |
| -31 | GD | +19 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 18% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC St. Pauli 1910 is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arthur Vermeeren, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christoph Baumgartner made 407 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Andre Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 100 goals in his last 123 appearances.
- 24' Controversy at the stadium! Amadou Haidara argues furiously but the card stands.
- 29' Philipp Treu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' Xavi Simons needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 49' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 59' Nikola Vasilj has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 61' The whistle greets Yussuf Poulsen as he departs to be replaced by Lois Openda.
- 62' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Christoph Baumgartner is withdrawn and Antonio Nusa gets his opportunity.
- 67' Lois Openda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
- 69' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Johannes Eggestein is withdrawn and Morgan Guilavogui gets his opportunity.
- 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 74' Andre Silva is replacing Benjamin Sesko for the RB Leipzig side.
- 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 82' A moment of madness from Benjamin Henrichs on 82 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
- 82' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Connor Metcalfe comes on to replace Carlo Boukhalfa.
- 87' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Scott Banks. He replaces Oladapo Afolayan on 89 minute.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Scott Banks 89'
- 22
- 16
- 2
- 26
- 23
Bench
- 21
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 69'
- 15
-
24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 82'
- 1
- 19
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 89'
-
29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 69'
- 4
Coach
Alexander Blessin
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Lois Openda 61'
- 1
- 16
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 74'
- 8
- 10
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 74'
Bench
-
17
Lois Openda ↑ 61'
- 6
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 74'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 74'
- 26
- 23
- 5
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 62'
-
18
Arthur Vermeeren ↑ 61'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
| Xavi Simons | 1 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-09-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
RB Leipzig
D
2024-09-15
FC Augsburg
3–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-25
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
2024-08-16
Hallescher FC
2–3
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-05-19
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.61
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
52%
Draw or RB Leipzig
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
17.8%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
2.5%
2 – 0
2.3%
0 – 4
2%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 11% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.