AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almería — Segunda Division .
- AD Ceuta FC 42 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | UD Almería | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | RC Deportivo La Coruna | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Nov | CD Leganes | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Cordoba CF | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | CD Mirandes | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | AD Ceuta FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Nov | CD Leganes | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Nov | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | SD Eibar | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | CD Castellon | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Cordoba CF | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AD Ceuta FC | UD Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 59 | Points | 75 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 16 / 11 / 15 | W / D / L | 22 / 9 / 11 |
| 49 | Scored | 80 |
| 62 | Conceded | 61 |
| -13 | GD | +19 |
| 1.40 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 38% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AD Ceuta FC and UD Almeria get this one started.
- It finishes all square. AD Ceuta FC and UD Almeria share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
AD Ceuta FC Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92
AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
AD Ceuta FC or UD Almería 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AD Ceuta FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
AD Ceuta FC or Draw
64%
Draw or UD Almería
59%
AD Ceuta FC or UD Almería
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC
| Handicap | AD Ceuta FC covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

