Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lukas Kubler 27' 1–1
Ritsu Doan 54' 2–1
Lukas Kubler 61' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
17 Aug VfL Osnabruck A 4–0 W
18 May 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
11 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
04 May 1. FC Koln A 0–0 D
27 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug SC Freiburg A 1–3 L
18 May Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–0 W
10 May FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
04 May FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
27 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
21 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg VfB Stuttgart
#7 Position #4
47 Points 62
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
51 Scored 71
57 Conceded 49
-6 GD +22
1.38 PPG 1.82
38% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Europa-Park Stadion. SC Freiburg are looking to make home advantage count against VfB Stuttgart.
  • 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ermedin Demirovic makes it 0-1.
  • 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 17' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nick Woltemade is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukas Kubler made 493 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Lukas Kubler makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and SC Freiburg are in front.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Christian Gunter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 21 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' Chikwubuike Adamu was booked on 41.
  • 46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Freiburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Ritsu Doan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Philipp Lienhart. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 57' The whistle greets Frans Kratzig as he departs to be replaced by Maximilian Mittelstadt.
  • 61' What composure from Lukas Kubler! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 63' SC Freiburg make a change. Merlin Rohl trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Holer on 63 minutes.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Maximilian Mittelstadt. He receives a card.
  • 65' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Deniz Undav by Fabian Rieder on 65 minute.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' Matthias Ginter is replacing Maximilian Eggestein for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 77' VfB Stuttgart come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 81' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Chris Fuhrich exits the field as Nick Woltemade enters on 81.
  • 82' It is a substitution in SC Freiburg team. Vincenzo Grifo is replaced by Florent Muslija on 82 minute.
  • 87' SC Freiburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or VfB Stuttgart 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg39% Draw24% VfB Stuttgart37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
64%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
61%
SC Freiburg or VfB Stuttgart
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg27% Draw41% VfB Stuttgart32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
17%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.