AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Brianteo.
- AC Monza 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
- Assistant 2 Niccolo Pagliardini
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Juventus FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | US Lecce | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Dec | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | AC Monza | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Jan | SSC Napoli | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Juventus FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Dec | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Dec | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Monza | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #17 |
| 4 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 8 | Scored | 6 |
| 12 | Conceded | 12 |
| -4 | GD | -6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
AC Monza this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AC Monza are 16th (4 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Monza
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Monza
| Gustavo Varela | 4 G |
| Andrea Colpani | 1 G |
| Jay Robinson | 1 G |
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Brianteo!
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' AC Monza are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Monza in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' AC Monza are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' Patrick Ciurria has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 46' The AC Monza manager makes a substitution. Pablo Mari departs to be replaced by Kevin Martins.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 58' Milan Duric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gianluca Caprari at the 58 minute mark.
- 61' Stefano Turati has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 63' Daniel Maldini does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Monza surge ahead!
- 64' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Amir Richardson is withdrawn and Michael Folorunsho gets his opportunity.
- 68' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Andrea Colpani departs to be replaced by Jonathan Ikone.
- 73' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Jonathan Ikone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 74' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Beltran makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 74' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Riccardo Sottil is replaced by Christian Kouame.
- 76' Pedro Pereira was booked on 76.
- 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 86' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andrea Carboni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Monza.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Patrick Ciurria on 87.
- 90' AC Monza manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andrea Petagna is hanging Daniel Maldini on the field on 90 minute.
- With this win, AC Monza is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Monza Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
22
Pablo Mari ↓ Kevin Martins 46'
- 4
-
10
Gianluca Caprari ↓ Milan Duric 58'
- 13
- 30
-
14
Daniel Maldini ↓ Andrea Petagna 90'
- 44
- 38
- 42
- 84
- 7
Bench
- 21
-
37
Andrea Petagna ↑ 90'
-
27
Mattia Valoti ↑ 90'
- 12
-
11
Milan Duric ↑ 58'
- 24
-
80
Samuele Vignato ↑ 90'
- 57
- 69
- 52
-
55
Kevin Martins ↑ 46'
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 43
- 29
- 20
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Fabiano Parisi 68'
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↓ Jonathan Ikone 68'
- 7
- 2
- 24
- 15
Bench
-
11
Jonathan Ikone ↑ 68'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 74'
- 8
- 1
- 5
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 46'
-
65
Fabiano Parisi ↑ 68'
- 14
-
90
Michael Folorunsho ↑ 64'
- 30
- 33
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lucas Beltran | 2 |
| Milan Duric | 2 |
| Carlos | 2 |
| Daniel Maldini | 2 |
| Matteo Pessina | 2 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
| Arthur | 1 |
| Arthur Cabral | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Monza Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34
AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Monza win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
AC Monza or Draw
73%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
49%
AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Monza win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Monza
| Handicap | AC Monza covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

