Friday , 18 September 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 23,015 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manu Morlanes 41' 1–0
1–1 88' Eder Militao
Vedat Muriqi 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Futbol H 0–1 L
22 Feb RC Celta de Vigo A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
06 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadi Mallorca Son Moix will turn into a battlefield for RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' RCD Mallorca started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RCD Mallorca side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Franco Mastantuono is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 41' The Spain Manu Morlanes breaks the deadlock on 41 minutes. 1-0!
  • 46' Vedat Muriqi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 47' Poor challenge from Dean Huijsen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' Vinicius Junior is ready to make an impact after coming on for Manuel Angel at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' Alvaro Carreras has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 66' Leo Roman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
  • 70' RCD Mallorca make a change. Manu Morlanes trudges off to be replaced by Mateo Fernandez on 70 minutes.
  • 72' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Arda Guler by Thiago Pitarch on 72 minute.
  • 76' Brahim Diaz makes way for Franco Mastantuono at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 81' RCD Mallorca manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Antonio Sanchez is hanging Zito Luvumbo on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Martin Valjent on 84 minutes.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Eder Militao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Franco Mastantuono.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca38% Draw29% Real Madrid CF33%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
68%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca27% Draw48% Real Madrid CF25%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
30%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.