Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Real Madrid CF

3 – 0

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Wed 11 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC — Champions League .

Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Maurizio Mariani

14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 13 games · Avg 4.3 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC 2025-12-10 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Manchester City FC 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC 2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-17 Manchester City FC 4–5 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	3–0	W
06 Mar	RC Celta de Vigo	A	2–1	W
02 Mar	Getafe CF	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	CA Osasuna	A	1–2	L
17 Feb	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	1–0	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	0–3	L
07 Mar	Newcastle United FC	A	3–1	W
04 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Leeds United FC	A	1–0	W
21 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	Salford City FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Manchester City FC
#9	Position	#8
15	Points	16
8	Played	8
5 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	5 / 1 / 2
21	Scored	15
12	Conceded	9
+9	GD	+6
1.88	PPG	2.00
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Manchester City FC gets underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Manchester City FC.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kevin De Bruyne	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Kylian Mbappe	4
Rodrygo	3
Gabriel Jesus	3
Erling Haaland	2
Phil Foden	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC W 2026-03-06 RC Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2026-03-02 Real Madrid CF 0–1 Getafe CF L 2026-02-25 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica W 2026-02-21 CA Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2026-02-17 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid CF W

Manchester City FC Form

2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC L 2026-03-07 Newcastle United FC 1–3 Manchester City FC W 2026-03-04 Manchester City FC 2–2 Nottingham Forest FC D 2026-02-28 Leeds United FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2026-02-21 Manchester City FC 2–1 Newcastle United FC W 2026-02-14 Manchester City FC 2–0 Salford City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.14 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF53% Draw23% Manchester City FC24%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.6

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

76%

Draw or Manchester City FC

47%

Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Madrid CF39% Draw39% Manchester City FC22%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.3%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

1 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.4%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.