Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Elche CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
06 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
02 Mar Getafe CF H 0–1 L
25 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 2–1 W
21 Feb CA Osasuna A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
08 Mar Villarreal CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–2 D
20 Feb Athletic Club A 1–2 L
13 Feb CA Osasuna H 0–0 D
07 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Elche CF
#2 Position #13
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 13 / 15
77 Scored 49
35 Conceded 57
+42 GD -8
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 26%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Elche CF are 13th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Elche CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.76 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Elche CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF72% Draw17% Elche CF11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
89%
Draw or Elche CF
28%
Real Madrid CF or Elche CF
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF56% Draw34% Elche CF10%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
3 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
4 – 0
6%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
5 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Elche CF covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 21% 45%
-1.5 55% 45%
-1 55% 20% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
41%
Elche CF keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.