Peterborough United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2022-23

Peterborough United FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 25 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Weston Homes Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Frankie Kent 56' Y

Jack Taylor 75' Y

Y 75' Harvey White

Nathan Thompson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Peterborough United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Weston Homes Stadium.

Peterborough United FC 46 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Peterborough United FC 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-25 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2022-08-27 Derby County FC 2–1 Peterborough United FC 2022-02-19 Derby County FC 1–0 Peterborough United FC 2021-08-14 Peterborough United FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Peterborough United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Mar	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W
18 Mar	Lincoln City FC	A	3–0	W
14 Mar	Burton Albion FC	A	5–2	W
11 Mar	Cheltenham Town FC	H	0–3	L
07 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	2–1	W
04 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	0–1	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Mar	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
18 Mar	Fleetwood Town FC	H	0–2	L
11 Mar	Oxford United FC	A	3–2	W
07 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Cheltenham Town FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Weston Homes Stadium. Peterborough United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ephron Mason-Clark is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Peterborough United FC.
10' Max Bird needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
20' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' Peterborough United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
35' Harvey White has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
46' Fresh legs for Peterborough United FC! Dan Butler comes on to replace Josh Knight.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
52' What a strike from Ephron Mason-Clark! The score is 1-0.
56' The referee has no hesitation. Frankie Kent is booked for Peterborough United FC — Yellow card on 56.
61' Will Norris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 343 appearances.
66' Derby County FC make a change. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing trudges off to be replaced by Tom Barkhuizen on 66 minutes.
71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Peterborough United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
72' James Collins gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Conor Hourihane and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Jack Taylor was booked on 75.
79' Max Bird makes way for Louie Sibley at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
83' The England Nathanael Ogbeta breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 2-0!
85' It is a substitution in Peterborough United FC team. Joe Ward is replaced by Ben Thompson on 85 minute.
90' That is a Yellow card for Peterborough United FC. Nathan Thompson will be fuming at that decision.
The points are shared — Peterborough United FC 2-0 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Peterborough United FC Lineups

Starting XI

12
Nathan Thompson
5
Josh Knight ↓ Dan Butler 46'
1
Will Norris
16
Harrison Burrows ↓ Kwame Poku 46'
23
Joe Ward ↓ Ben Thompson 85'
18
Oliver Norburn
6
Frankie Kent
9
Jonson Clarke-Harris
8
Jack Taylor
10
Ephron Mason-Clark ↓ Ricky Jade-Jones 85'
15
Nathanael Ogbeta

Bench

Coach Darren Ferguson

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

12
Korey Smith
3
Craig Forsyth
8
Max Bird ↓ Louie Sibley 79'
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 66'
1
Joseph Wildsmith
10
David McGoldrick
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ James Collins 72'
15
Haydon Roberts
23
Harvey White
6
Eiran Cashin
18
Lewis Dobbin

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Harrison Burrows	2
Kwame Poku	2
James Collins	2
Jack Stretton	2
Siriki Dembele	1
Louie Sibley	1
Ricky Jade-Jones	1

Head to Head

Peterborough United FC Form

2023-03-25 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Derby County FC W 2023-03-18 Lincoln City FC 0–3 Peterborough United FC W 2023-03-14 Burton Albion FC 2–5 Peterborough United FC W 2023-03-11 Peterborough United FC 0–3 Cheltenham Town FC L 2023-03-07 Peterborough United FC 2–1 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-03-04 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–0 Peterborough United FC L

Derby County FC Form

2023-03-25 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2023-03-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Fleetwood Town FC L 2023-03-11 Oxford United FC 2–3 Derby County FC W 2023-03-07 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2023-03-04 Derby County FC 2–2 Shrewsbury Town FC D 2023-02-28 Derby County FC 2–0 Cheltenham Town FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.44 Peterborough United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Peterborough United FC47% Draw27% Derby County FC26%

Actual: Peterborough United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Peterborough United FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Derby County FC

53%

Peterborough United FC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Peterborough United FC31% Draw48% Derby County FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

1 – 0

10.3%

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.2%

3 – 0

3.8%

1 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Peterborough United FC

Handicap	Peterborough United FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	22%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.