Wednesday , 14 October 2026

Peterborough United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 25 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Weston Homes Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Mar Derby County FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Lincoln City FC A 3–0 W
14 Mar Burton Albion FC A 5–2 W
11 Mar Cheltenham Town FC H 0–3 L
07 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Peterborough United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Peterborough United FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Peterborough United FC
Harry Leonard 2 G
Benjamin Woods 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Weston Homes Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' England international Lewis Dobbin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Peterborough United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Max Bird is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 25' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Harvey White has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Peterborough United FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Fresh legs for Peterborough United FC! Dan Butler comes on to replace Josh Knight.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Ephron Mason-Clark has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Frankie Kent on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 66' Tom Barkhuizen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for James Collins. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 72 minute.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Taylor on 75.
  • 79' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Max Bird by Louie Sibley on 79 minute.
  • 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nathanael Ogbeta makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 85' It is a substitution in Peterborough United FC team. Joe Ward is replaced by Ben Thompson on 85 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Nathan Thompson.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Peterborough United FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Peterborough United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Peterborough United FC47% Draw27% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Peterborough United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Peterborough United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
53%
Peterborough United FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Peterborough United FC31% Draw48% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Peterborough United FC

Handicap Peterborough United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.