Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Shrewsbury Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Derby County FC A 2–2 D
25 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
18 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
11 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Luke Leahy on 15 minutes.
  • 19' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for David McGoldrick.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Haydon Roberts makes it 1-0.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' That is a Yellow card for Shrewsbury Town FC. Taylor Moore will be fuming at that decision.
  • 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Shrewsbury Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Goal! David McGoldrick scores his 60 goal in 366 matches.
  • 46' Shrewsbury Town FC make a change. Ryan Bowman trudges off to be replaced by Rekeil Pyke on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Craig Forsyth argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 49' Tom Bayliss doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 72' A stunning finish from Luke Leahy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' Another change for Derby County FC made on 77 minute. Jake Rooney leaves to be changed by Harvey White.
  • 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
  • 83' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Collins is hanging Jason Knight on the field on 83 minute.
  • 87' Another substitution for Shrewsbury Town FC to replace Killian Phillips by Elliott Bennett on 87 minute.
  • 90' Tony Springett gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Lewis Dobbin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Shrewsbury Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shrewsbury Town FC
58%
Derby County FC or Shrewsbury Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw51% Shrewsbury Town FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Shrewsbury Town FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.