Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Shrewsbury Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Derby County FC A 2–2 D
25 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
18 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
11 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Shrewsbury Town FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' Shrewsbury Town FC is showing some good football. However, Shrewsbury Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The referee shows Shrewsbury Town FC player a Yellow card on 15.
  • 19' A moment of madness from David McGoldrick on 19 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 20' Haydon Roberts does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Flanagan made 363 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 38' The referee shows Shrewsbury Town FC player a Yellow card on 38.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' A stunning finish from David McGoldrick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' The Shrewsbury Town FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Bowman is withdrawn and Rekeil Pyke gets his opportunity.
  • 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Forsyth on 48.
  • 49' Tom Bayliss is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 54' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Eiran Cashin.
  • 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 72' GOAL! Luke Leahy scores on 72.
  • 77' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jake Rooney is withdrawn and Harvey White gets his opportunity.
  • 82' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Shrewsbury Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 83' The crowd applauds Jason Knight as he leaves the pitch. James Collins steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Shrewsbury Town FCElliott Bennett on, Killian Phillips off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Tony Springett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Dobbin at the 90 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Shrewsbury Town FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Shrewsbury Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shrewsbury Town FC
58%
Derby County FC or Shrewsbury Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw51% Shrewsbury Town FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Shrewsbury Town FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.