Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Shrewsbury Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Derby County FC A 2–2 D
25 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
18 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
11 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Shrewsbury Town FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Matthew Pennington is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shrewsbury Town FC tonight.
  • 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luke Leahy on 15.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for David McGoldrick on 19.
  • 20' Haydon Roberts makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 25' Shrewsbury Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Shrewsbury Town FC's compact .
  • 38' Poor challenge from Taylor Moore. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 43' Tom Flanagan, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' David McGoldrick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Ryan Bowman as he leaves the pitch. Rekeil Pyke steps in for Shrewsbury Town FC.
  • 48' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Craig Forsyth will be fuming at that decision.
  • 49' GOAL! Tom Bayliss fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 54' A moment of madness from Eiran Cashin on 54 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 59' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' A goal from the England international Luke Leahy! He fires home on 72 to make it 2-2!
  • 77' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harvey White is hanging Jake Rooney on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' James Collins gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Jason Knight and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The Shrewsbury Town FC manager makes a substitution. Killian Phillips departs to be replaced by Elliott Bennett.
  • 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tony Springett is hanging Lewis Dobbin on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Shrewsbury Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shrewsbury Town FC
58%
Derby County FC or Shrewsbury Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw51% Shrewsbury Town FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Shrewsbury Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.