Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Shrewsbury Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Derby County FC A 2–2 D
25 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
18 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
11 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Shrewsbury Town FC.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Shrewsbury Town FC's compact .
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' That is a Yellow card for Shrewsbury Town FC. Luke Leahy will be fuming at that decision.
  • 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for David McGoldrick.
  • 20' GOAL! Haydon Roberts fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 25' Jordan Shipley, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taylor Moore made 89 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Elliott Bennett has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Taylor Moore.
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' GOAL! David McGoldrick fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 46' The crowd applauds Ryan Bowman as he leaves the pitch. Rekeil Pyke steps in for Shrewsbury Town FC.
  • 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Craig Forsyth.
  • 49' What composure from Tom Bayliss! The England international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 54' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 59' Craig Forsyth is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shrewsbury Town FC so far.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Cotterill will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' What composure from Luke Leahy! The England international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 77' Harvey White has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jake Rooney on 77 minute.
  • 82' Ireland international Jason Knight has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 83' James Collins gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Jason Knight and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The Shrewsbury Town FC bench stirs into life. Killian Phillips is withdrawn and Elliott Bennett gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Tony Springett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Dobbin at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Shrewsbury Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shrewsbury Town FC
58%
Derby County FC or Shrewsbury Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw51% Shrewsbury Town FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Shrewsbury Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.