Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
2
4
Oxford United FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Derby County FC H 2–3 L
04 Mar Lincoln City FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 0–3 L
18 Feb Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC31% Draw26% Derby County FC43%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC25% Draw43% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.