Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 13 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 12 |
| 22 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Feb | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Barnsley FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season
Oxford United FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
9/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Oxford United FC
| Mark Harris | 6 G | 1 A |
| Gatlin O'Donkor | 4 G | 2 A |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 G | |
| Ciaron Brown | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Kassam Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Oxford United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 14' Sam Long doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 19' Oxford United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 23' What a moment for Sam Long! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' With 3 assists to his name this season, Max Bird is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 33' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 38' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' Ciaron Brown has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
- 40' Louie Sibley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 45' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. James Henry is replaced by Oisin Smyth.
- 50' Stuart Findlay, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' Korey Smith was booked on 59.
- 61' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 1-3.
- 63' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Barkhuizen is hanging Tony Springett on the field on 63 minute.
- 66' Tyler Goodrham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Djavan Anderson on 66 minute.
- 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 76' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Gatlin O'Donkor exits the field as Kyle Joseph enters on 77.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Max Bird. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 79 minute.
- 80' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Haydon Roberts is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiran Cashin, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 86' The whistle greets Louie Sibley as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 13
- 2
-
17
James Henry ↓ Oisin Smyth 45'
- 8
-
11
Marcus Browne ↓ Yanic Wildschut 77'
- 33
- 4
- 5
-
39
Gatlin O'Donkor ↓ Kyle Joseph 77'
-
14
Lewis Bate ↓ Marcus McGuane 77'
Bench
- 3
-
30
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 77'
-
18
Marcus McGuane ↑ 77'
-
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 77'
-
27
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 66'
-
25
Oisin Smyth ↑ 45'
- 21
Coach
Karl Robinson
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 33
- 11
- 1
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Max Bird 79'
- 9
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Lewis Dobbin 86'
- 6
-
22
Tony Springett ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 63'
- 34
Bench
- 32
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 79'
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↑ 63'
-
15
Haydon Roberts ↑ 80'
- 23
- 16
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 86'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Long | 2 |
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 |
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Liam Thompson | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Eiran Cashin | 1 |
Head to Head
Oxford United FC Form
2023-03-11
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-03-04
Lincoln City FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
L
2023-02-25
Oxford United FC
0–3
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-02-18
Cambridge United FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
L
2023-02-14
Oxford United FC
1–3
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2023-02-11
Milton Keynes Dons FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2023-03-11
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-03-07
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-03-04
Derby County FC
2–2
Shrewsbury Town FC
D
2023-02-28
Derby County FC
2–0
Cheltenham Town FC
W
2023-02-25
Barnsley FC
4–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-02-18
Derby County FC
2–0
Charlton Athletic FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

