Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Feb | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Barnsley FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Conor Hourihane has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 355 appearances.
- 14' Sam Long is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 23' What an equalizer from Sam Long!
- 28' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Henry suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' It’s a booking for Oxford United FC player. Ciaron Brown gets a Yellow card.
- 40' Louie Sibley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 45' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Oisin Smyth on, James Henry off on 45 minutes.
- 50' Scotland international Craig Forsyth has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Oxford United FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
- 59' Korey Smith is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 61' James Collins makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Derby County FC are in front.
- 63' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Tony Springett is withdrawn and Tom Barkhuizen gets his opportunity.
- 66' Oxford United FC make a change. Djavan Anderson trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Goodrham on 66 minutes.
- 71' Oxford United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 77' The whistle greets Gatlin O'Donkor as he departs to be replaced by Kyle Joseph.
- 79' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Conor Hourihane by Max Bird on 79 minute.
- 80' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by Haydon Roberts on 80 minute.
- 85' Oxford United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 86' Lewis Dobbin gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Louie Sibley and will look to change the dynamic.
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 13
- 2
-
17
James Henry ↓ Oisin Smyth 45'
- 8
-
11
Marcus Browne ↓ Yanic Wildschut 77'
- 33
- 4
- 5
-
39
Gatlin O'Donkor ↓ Kyle Joseph 77'
-
14
Lewis Bate ↓ Marcus McGuane 77'
Bench
- 3
-
30
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 77'
-
18
Marcus McGuane ↑ 77'
-
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 77'
-
27
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 66'
-
25
Oisin Smyth ↑ 45'
- 21
Coach
Karl Robinson
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 33
- 11
- 1
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Max Bird 79'
- 9
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Lewis Dobbin 86'
- 6
-
22
Tony Springett ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 63'
- 34
Bench
- 32
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 79'
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↑ 63'
-
15
Haydon Roberts ↑ 80'
- 23
- 16
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 86'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 |
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Sam Long | 2 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Eiran Cashin | 1 |
| Sam Long | 1 |
| Kyle Joseph | 1 |
Head to Head
Oxford United FC Form
2023-03-11
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-03-04
Lincoln City FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
L
2023-02-25
Oxford United FC
0–3
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-02-18
Cambridge United FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
L
2023-02-14
Oxford United FC
1–3
Plymouth Argyle FC
L
2023-02-11
Milton Keynes Dons FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2023-03-11
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-03-07
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-03-04
Derby County FC
2–2
Shrewsbury Town FC
D
2023-02-28
Derby County FC
2–0
Cheltenham Town FC
W
2023-02-25
Barnsley FC
4–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-02-18
Derby County FC
2–0
Charlton Athletic FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

