Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2022-23

Oxford United FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ciaron Brown 39' Y

Y 59' Korey Smith

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Oxford United FC 6 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-11 Oxford United FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2022-07-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Derby County FC	H	2–3	L
04 Mar	Lincoln City FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Bristol Rovers FC	H	0–3	L
18 Feb	Cambridge United FC	A	0–1	L
14 Feb	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	1–3	L
11 Feb	Milton Keynes Dons FC	A	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Oxford United FC	A	3–2	W
07 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Cheltenham Town FC	H	2–0	W
25 Feb	Barnsley FC	A	1–4	L
18 Feb	Charlton Athletic FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC

Mark Harris	3 G	1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor	3 G	1 A
Ciaron Brown	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Oxford United FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
14' GOAL! Sam Long scores on 14.
19' Joseph Wildsmith has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 384 appearances.
23' Sam Long makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
28' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
33' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
39' Ciaron Brown is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
40' What a strike from Louie Sibley! The score is 1-2.
45' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. James Henry is replaced by Oisin Smyth.
50' Korey Smith has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Korey Smith.
61' The Ireland forward James Collins breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 1-3!
63' Derby County FC make a change. Tony Springett trudges off to be replaced by Tom Barkhuizen on 63 minutes.
66' The crowd applauds Djavan Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Goodrham steps in for Oxford United FC.
71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Karl Robinson will be considering his options from the bench.
77' Kyle Joseph is replacing Gatlin O'Donkor for the Oxford United FC side.
79' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Bird is hanging Conor Hourihane on the field on 79 minute.
80' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Haydon Roberts.
85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cameron Brannagan suffering a number of foals already.
86' Another change for Derby County FC made on 86 minute. Louie Sibley leaves to be changed by Lewis Dobbin.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Brandon Fleming
30
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 77'
18
Marcus McGuane ↑ 77'
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 77'
27
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 66'
25
Oisin Smyth ↑ 45'
21
Edward McGinty

Coach Karl Robinson

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

12
Korey Smith
3
Craig Forsyth
33
Curtis Davies
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ Haydon Roberts 80'
1
Joseph Wildsmith
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Max Bird 79'
9
James Collins
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Lewis Dobbin 86'
6
Eiran Cashin
22
Tony Springett ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 63'
34
Jake Rooney

Bench

32
Luke McGee
8
Max Bird ↑ 79'
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↑ 63'
15
Haydon Roberts ↑ 80'
23
Harvey White
16
Liam Thompson
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 86'

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mark Harris	2
Sam Long	2
Louie Sibley	2
Cameron Brannagan	2
Kyle Joseph	1
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing	1
Dane Scarlett	1
Jaydon Banel	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.42 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC31% Draw26% Derby County FC43%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Derby County FC

69%

Oxford United FC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC25% Draw43% Derby County FC32%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 1

6.7%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

Derby County FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Clean Sheet