Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Peterborough United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 27 Aug 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–0 D
13 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
06 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L
30 Jul Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Derby County FC A 1–2 L
20 Aug Lincoln City FC H 4–0 W
16 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
13 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–2 L
06 Aug Morecambe FC H 3–0 W
30 Jul Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Peterborough United FC backline.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Ephron Mason-Clark needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 26' Peterborough United FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 30' Nathan Thompson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 30.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Harrison Burrows is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Harrison Burrows.
  • 46' Craig Forsyth gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Haydon Roberts and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' The 23-year-old Ronnie Edwards has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' Poor challenge from Nathan Thompson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • 57' The Peterborough United FC manager makes a substitution. Jack Taylor departs to be replaced by Josh Knight.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' Richard Stearman is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 69' Josh Knight puts Peterborough United FC on the lead.
  • 69' Derby County FC make a change. James Collins trudges off to be replaced by David McGoldrick on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 77' Peterborough United FC ring the changes. Jack Marriott has done his job and it is now time for Ephron Mason-Clark to step up.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 84' The Peterborough United FC bench stirs into life. Ben Thompson is withdrawn and Hector Matthew Kyprianou gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Magnificent from Jason Knight! That is 21 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Peterborough United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Peterborough United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC49% Draw27% Peterborough United FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Peterborough United FC
51%
Derby County FC or Peterborough United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw48% Peterborough United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Peterborough United FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.