Saturday , 14 November 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 7 Mar 2023 · 20:00 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Derby County FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Peterborough United FC A 2–5 L
18 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 0–0 D
14 Feb Oxford United FC A 3–1 W
11 Feb Portsmouth FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Plymouth Argyle FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Plymouth Argyle FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/5
31-45
2/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Plymouth Argyle FC
Aribim Pepple 5 G
Will Evans 3 G
Xavier Amaechi 3 G
Oliver Irow 3 G
Harvey White 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC to win 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC57% Draw24% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC39% Draw44% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.