Thursday , 2 July 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 7 Mar 2023 · 20:00 UTC Home Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Derby County FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Peterborough United FC A 2–5 L
18 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 0–0 D
14 Feb Oxford United FC A 3–1 W
11 Feb Portsmouth FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Plymouth Argyle FC gets underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 17' Brilliant from the ! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 17.
  • 19' A moment of madness from James Wilson on 19 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Plymouth Argyle FC will be frustrated.
  • 24' A quiet spell here at Home Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' Conor Hourihane has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 355 appearances.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' James Bolton is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Wilson at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' A change in the Plymouth Argyle FC ranks — Jordan Houghton exits the field as Jay Matete enters on 56.
  • 60' What a strike from Callum Wright! The score is 1-1.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Tom Barkhuizen is replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Plymouth Argyle FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryan Hardie makes it 2-1.
  • 74' Finn Azaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 76' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Haydon Roberts is withdrawn and Tony Springett gets his opportunity.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Mikel Miller. He replaces Danny Mayor on 78 minute.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Finn Azaz departs to be replaced by Niall Ennis.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Matete is booked for Plymouth Argyle FC — Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Jason Knight gets a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Plymouth Argyle FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC to win 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Plymouth Argyle FC57% Draw24% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC39% Draw44% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.