Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fleetwood Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Derby County FC A 2–0 W
11 Mar Port Vale FC H 1–1 D
07 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
04 Mar Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Burnley FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Morecambe FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Fleetwood Town FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC32% Draw32% Fleetwood Town FC36%
Actual: Fleetwood Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
68%
Derby County FC or Fleetwood Town FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC21% Draw54% Fleetwood Town FC25%
Actual: Fleetwood Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.