Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 28 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Cheltenham Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
04 Feb Morecambe FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Derby County FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L
18 Feb Barnsley FC H 0–4 L
14 Feb Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Accrington Stanley FC H 0–0 D
04 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Cheltenham Town FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Cheltenham Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Ryan Broom needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Sean Long has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' It’s a booking for Cheltenham Town FC player. Ryan Jackson gets a Yellow card.
  • 31' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cheltenham Town FC's shape.
  • 36' Cheltenham Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' with the perfectly-timed delivery and David McGoldrick makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 48' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Glen Rea.
  • 56' Elliott Bonds has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 56.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Harvey White.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Glen Rea as he leaves the pitch. Liam Sercombe steps in for Cheltenham Town FC.
  • 67' Brilliant from the forward! Lewis Dobbin makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 67.
  • 70' Aidan Keena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taylor Perry at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' Louie Sibley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Harvey White on 71 minute.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Hourihane suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Another change for Derby County FC made on 77 minute. David McGoldrick leaves to be changed by James Collins.
  • 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Liam Thompson. He replaces Jason Knight on 84 minute.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Louie Sibley argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 2-0 Cheltenham Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC60% Draw23% Cheltenham Town FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
40%
Derby County FC or Cheltenham Town FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw45% Cheltenham Town FC13%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.