Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 28 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Cheltenham Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
04 Feb Morecambe FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Derby County FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L
18 Feb Barnsley FC H 0–4 L
14 Feb Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Accrington Stanley FC H 0–0 D
04 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Pride Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Cheltenham Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Aidan Keena is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Cheltenham Town FC's compact .
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' It’s a booking for Cheltenham Town FC player. Ryan Jackson gets a Yellow card.
  • 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Cheltenham Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elliott Bonds is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' A stunning finish from David McGoldrick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 48' Ryan Jackson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 7 appearances.
  • 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Cheltenham Town FC player. Glen Rea gets a Yellow card.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Elliott Bonds.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Harvey White argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 63' Cheltenham Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Liam Sercombe is hanging Glen Rea on the field on 63 minute.
  • 67' What a strike from Lewis Dobbin! The score is 2-0.
  • 70' Aidan Keena gets the nod from Cheltenham Town FC. He replaces Taylor Perry and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Harvey White makes way for Louie Sibley at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 76' Alfie May, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 77' Derby County FC ring the changes. David McGoldrick has done his job and it is now time for James Collins to step up.
  • 82' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 84' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jason Knight is withdrawn and Liam Thompson gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Louie Sibley on 87 minutes.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC60% Draw23% Cheltenham Town FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
40%
Derby County FC or Cheltenham Town FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw45% Cheltenham Town FC13%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.