Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 16:00 UTC Fisht HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May FK Nizhny Novgorod H 6–1 W
05 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–3 L
29 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 0–0 D
25 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
21 Apr FK Ural H 2–2 D
13 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May PFK Sochi A 1–6 L
05 May FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
28 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–5 L
24 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–3 L
21 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–4 L
14 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–3 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Nizhny Novgorod
#16 Position #15
22 Points 23
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 19
29 Scored 26
60 Conceded 50
-31 GD -24
0.73 PPG 0.77
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
17% Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi59% Draw21% FK Nizhny Novgorod20%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
41%
PFK Sochi or FK Nizhny Novgorod
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi44% Draw39% FK Nizhny Novgorod17%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
30%
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.