Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Nizhny Novgorod HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct PFK Sochi H 1–0 W
22 Oct FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–0 W
30 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–1 L
24 Sep FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
15 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–1 L
22 Oct FK Ural A 4–1 W
07 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
01 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–2 L
23 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
16 Sep FK Spartak Moskva H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Kirill Zaika has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Nizhny Novgorod needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Nizhny Novgorod and PFK Sochi are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Nikolai Kalinskiy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 38 minutes.
  • 43' Viktor Alexandrov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Yuran might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' The PFK Sochi manager makes a substitution. Ivan Ignatjev departs to be replaced by Timofey Margasov.
  • 56' Nikolay Tolstopyatov is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Nizhny Novgorod side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 62' FK Nizhny Novgorod receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
  • 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' FK Nizhny Novgorod make a change. Nikolai Kalinskiy trudges off to be replaced by Ilya Zhigulev on 69 minutes.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Mateo Stamatov is booked for FK Nizhny Novgorod — card on 70.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Nizhny Novgorod that had 149 games and scored 135 goals.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Kirill Kravtsov as he leaves the pitch. Christian Noboa steps in for PFK Sochi.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kirill Kravtsov made 396 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Another change for FK Nizhny Novgorod made on 90 minute. Aleksandr Troshechkin leaves to be changed by Ilya Kukharchuk.
  • Another three points for FK Nizhny Novgorod.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Nizhny Novgorod53% Draw27% PFK Sochi20%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw
80%
Draw or PFK Sochi
47%
FK Nizhny Novgorod or PFK Sochi
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Nizhny Novgorod34% Draw50% PFK Sochi16%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap FK Nizhny Novgorod covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.