Saturday , 19 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 11,612 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Gaetan Laborde
Joris Chotard 22' 1–1
1–2 28' Badredine Bouanani
Theo Sainte-Luce 80' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L
01 Dec Lille OSC H 2–2 D
23 Nov AS Saint-Etienne A 0–1 L
10 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
03 Nov Le Havre AC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
12 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L
07 Dec Le Havre AC H 2–1 W
01 Dec Olympique Lyonnais A 1–4 L
28 Nov Rangers FC H 1–4 L
24 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Montpellier HSC host OGC Nice — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordan Ferri made 427 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Montpellier HSC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' Gaetan Laborde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Joris Chotard does the damage! The net is bulging and Montpellier HSC surge ahead!
  • 27' Teji Savanier has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 340 appearances.
  • 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Badredine Bouanani makes it 1-2.
  • 33' Pablo Rosario needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Badredine Bouanani on 34 minutes earns him a card. OGC Nice will be frustrated.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' Jonathan Clauss is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for OGC Nice tonight.
  • 49' Sofiane Diop is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for OGC Nice so far.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Jonathan Clauss argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Arnaud Nordin makes way for Rabby Nzingoula at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • 62' Melvin Bard gets the nod from OGC Nice. He replaces Jonathan Clauss and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. Montpellier HSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' Tom Louchet makes way for Yael Nandjou at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from OGC Nice.
  • 74' Montpellier HSC make a change. Issiaga Sylla trudges off to be replaced by Theo Sainte-Luce on 74 minutes.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Junior Ndiaye. He replaces Akor Adams on 75 minute.
  • 80' Goal! Theo Sainte-Luce scores his 3 goal in 340 matches.
  • 85' The whistle greets Tanguy Ndombele as he departs to be replaced by Issiaga Camara.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rabby Nzingoula on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC41% Draw26% OGC Nice33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
67%
Draw or OGC Nice
59%
Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC31% Draw43% OGC Nice26%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.