Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sat 27 May 2023 · 19:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Dante

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Yohann Rouinsard
  • Referee Aurelien Drouet
  • Referee Mehdi Mokhtari
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May OGC Nice H 2–3 L
20 May FC Nantes A 3–0 W
14 May FC Lorient H 1–1 D
07 May Olympique Lyonnais A 4–5 L
30 Apr AS Monaco FC A 4–0 W
23 Apr Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Montpellier HSC A 3–2 W
21 May Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
13 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
06 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
30 Apr ES Troyes AC A 1–0 W
23 Apr Clermont Foot 63 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC33% Draw28% OGC Nice39%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
61%
Draw or OGC Nice
67%
Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC24% Draw46% OGC Nice30%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.