Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 11,612 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Gaetan Laborde
Joris Chotard 22' 1–1
1–2 28' Badredine Bouanani
Theo Sainte-Luce 80' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L
01 Dec Lille OSC H 2–2 D
23 Nov AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
10 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
03 Nov Le Havre AC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
12 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L
07 Dec Le Havre AC H 2–1 W
01 Dec Olympique Lyonnais A 1–4 L
28 Nov Rangers FC H 1–4 L
24 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Montpellier HSC launch into their encounter with OGC Nice.
  • 5' Montpellier HSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' Assisted by Evann Guessand with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gaetan Laborde makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 22' Against the run of play, Joris Chotard has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nikola Maksimovic, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de la Mosson with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 28' Badredine Bouanani puts OGC Nice on the lead.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Badredine Bouanani.
  • 39' Montpellier HSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined OGC Nice backline.
  • 44' OGC Nice started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 49' The 26-year-old Moise Bombito has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 53' OGC Nice receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Rabby Nzingoula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arnaud Nordin at the 61 minute mark.
  • 62' OGC Nice ring the changes. Jonathan Clauss has done his job and it is now time for Melvin Bard to step up.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. Montpellier HSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' Yael Nandjou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Louchet at the 71 minute mark.
  • 74' Theo Sainte-Luce has so much to prove this time. He replaces Issiaga Sylla on 74 minute.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Junior Ndiaye comes on to replace Akor Adams.
  • 80' Theo Sainte-Luce makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Montpellier HSC are in front.
  • 85' Issiaga Camara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tanguy Ndombele on 85 minute.
  • 90' Rabby Nzingoula picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC41% Draw26% OGC Nice33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
67%
Draw or OGC Nice
59%
Montpellier HSC or OGC Nice
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC31% Draw43% OGC Nice26%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.