Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
03 May Coventry City FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Norwich City FC H 0–0 D
21 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Millwall FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
03 May Oxford United FC H 3–3 D
26 Apr Millwall FC A 0–1 L
21 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Swansea City AFC
#5 Position #11
80 Points 64
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
72 Scored 57
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD -2
1.74 PPG 1.39
48% Win % 39%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC53% Draw28% Swansea City AFC19%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
47%
Middlesbrough FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC35% Draw52% Swansea City AFC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.